Match Info

Liga de Ascenso - Clausura - Round 15

Date: 28 March 2025, Friday


	Carmelita		Cofutpa

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.55	3.3
	2.03	3.67	3.34	Watch
	1.94	3.54	3.32
	1.95	3.55	3.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.97 ↓ (2.02)	3.58 ↑ (3.25)	3.32 ↓ (3.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Carmelita
46.7%

Draw
25.7%

Cofutpa
27.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.9%

27.9%

27.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.7%

27.4%

26.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Carmelita has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

Cofutpa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Carmelita than the current prediction. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cofutpa than the current prediction. (-1%)

Carmelita - Cofutpa Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
37', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
72', 1 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

You will have a great opportunity to watch a game between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 6 and 8).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Carmelita won 0.

Recent matches Carmelita is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Cofutpa has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Carmelita could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Carmelita is a favorite.

Last 14 head-to-head matches Carmelita won 3 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 27:29 (average 1.9:2.1).

Including matches at home between the teams Carmelita won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 14:8 (average 2.3:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportiva Carmelita
Costa Rican Liga de Ascenso
22.03.25	Inter San Carlos - Carmelita	1:0 ✺
19.03.25	Carmelita - Sarchi	2:1 ✺
16.03.25	Jicaral - Carmelita	1:1 ✺
10.03.25	Carmelita - Quepos	0:2 ✺
06.03.25	Carmelita - Municipal Grecia	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.5 LWTLW
- AD Cofutpa
Costa Rican Liga de Ascenso
22.03.25	Cofutpa - San Carlos	0:1 ✺
15.03.25	Inter San Carlos - Cofutpa	2:0 ✺
09.03.25	Cofutpa - Sarchi	0:2 ✺
05.03.25	Jicaral - Cofutpa	4:1 ✺
02.03.25	Quepos - Cofutpa	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Costa Rican Liga de Ascenso
15.02.25	Cofutpa - Carmelita	3:2
12.10.24	Cofutpa - Carmelita	3:3
30.08.24	Carmelita - Cofutpa	1:1
18.03.24	Carmelita - Cofutpa	1:3
01.02.24	Cofutpa - Carmelita	3:2
07.10.23	Cofutpa - Carmelita	3:1
20.08.23	Carmelita - Cofutpa	1:1

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