The best margin for this event is 9.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Caronnese 16.5%
Draw 26.5%
Alcione 57.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
18.8%
26.4%
54.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
18.1%
25.4%
56.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Caronnese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)
Alcione has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Caronnese than the current prediction. (+1.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alcione than the current prediction. (-0.2%)
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Preview
Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group B (Play Offs)).
Caronnese has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Recent matches Alcione is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
In this match Alcione is a favorite.
Last 1 head-to-head matches Caronnese won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-4.