Match Info

ITALY: SERIE D - GROUP B - ROUND 20

Date: 22 January 2023, Sunday


	Casatese		Caronnese

	1	X	2
	1.88	2.95	3.9
	1.9	3	3.9
	1.95	3.14	3.65
	1.92	3	4.24
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.91 ↑ (1.41)	3.02 ↓ (3.75)	3.92 ↓ (5.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Casatese
47.2%

Draw
29.8%

Caronnese
23%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.4%

23.1%

15.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.9%

12.7%

28.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Casatese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Casatese's form might have worsened.

Caronnese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Caronnese's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Casatese than the current prediction. (-13.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Casatese that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Caronnese than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Caronnese could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	0%	40%

Casatese - Caronnese Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Casatese will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Caronnese will win (votes: 2 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 7 and 17 in the zone Relegation).

Casatese is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Caronnese has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Casatese is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- USD Casatese
Italian Serie D - Group B
15.01.23	Arconatese - Casatese	1:0 ✺
08.01.23	Casatese - Brusaporto	0:2 ✺
21.12.22	Casatese - Breno	0:3 ✺
17.12.22	Villa Valle - Casatese	1:1 ✺
11.12.22	Casatese - Desenzano Calvina	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.7 LLLTW
- SC Caronnese ASD
Italian Serie D - Group B
15.01.23	Caronnese - Franciacorta	1:2 ✺
08.01.23	Virtus CiseranoBergamo - Caronnese	4:0 ✺
21.12.22	Folgore Caratese - Caronnese	3:0 ✺
17.12.22	Caronnese - Lumezzane	1:3 ✺
11.12.22	Ponte San Pietro Isola - Caronnese	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 LLLLT

Casatese - Caronnese: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide