Match Info

ITALY: SERIE D - GROUP B - ROUND 22

Date: 5 February 2023, Sunday


	Varesina		Caronnese

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.1	2.87
	2.15	3.1	3
	2.18	3.1	3.04
	2.05	3.25	3
	2.15	3.15	3.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.15 ↑ (1.68)	3.14 ↓ (3.5)	3.01 ↓ (4.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 10%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Varesina
41.7%

Draw
28.5%

Caronnese
29.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.3%

26%

19.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.4%

25.5%

19.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Varesina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Varesina's form might have worsened.

Caronnese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Caronnese's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Varesina than the current prediction. (+13.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Varesina, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Caronnese than the current prediction. (-10.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Caronnese, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Varesina - Caronnese Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 8 and 18 in the zone Relegation).

Varesina is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Caronnese has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Varesina won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ASD Varesina
Italian Serie D - Group B
29.01.23	Arconatese - Varesina	0:1 ✺
22.01.23	Varesina - Brusaporto	2:1 ✺
15.01.23	Breno - Varesina	2:0 ✺
08.01.23	Varesina - Villa Valle	3:1 ✺
21.12.22	Varesina - Real Calepina	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.7 WWLWT
- SC Caronnese ASD
Italian Serie D - Group B
29.01.23	Caronnese - Alcione	0:2 ✺
22.01.23	Casatese - Caronnese	2:2 ✺
15.01.23	Caronnese - Franciacorta	1:2 ✺
08.01.23	Virtus CiseranoBergamo - Caronnese	4:0 ✺
21.12.22	Folgore Caratese - Caronnese	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 LTLLL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group B
02.10.22	Caronnese - Varesina	0:0
Italian Serie D - Group A
17.01.18	Caronnese - Varesina	1:1
08.12.16	Caronnese - Varesina	3:2

Varesina - Caronnese: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide