Match Info

Date: 17 February 2021, Wednesday


	Carpi		Südtirol-Alto Adige

	1	X	2
	4	3.2	1.9
	3.9	3.1	1.9	Watch
	3.4	3.3	1.95
	3.75	3	1.94
	4.2	3.34	1.97
	3.7	3.25	2
	3.9	3.35	1.9	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.84 ↑ (2.76)	3.22 ↑ (3.19)	1.94 ↓ (2.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Carpi
24%

Draw
28.6%

Südtirol-Alto Adige
47.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.8%

28.4%

38.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.7%

20.6%

53.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Carpi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Carpi's form might have worsened.

Südtirol-Alto Adige has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Südtirol-Alto Adige's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Carpi than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Südtirol-Alto Adige than the current prediction. (+6.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Südtirol-Alto Adige could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Carpi - Südtirol Alto Adige Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 12 and 2 in the zone Promotion to Serie C to Promotion to Play Offs).

Carpi is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Südtirol is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Carpi could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Südtirol will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Carpi won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 8-11.

Including matches at home between the teams Carpi won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Carpi FC
Italian Serie C Group B
14.02.21	Arezzo - Carpi	3:3 ✺
10.02.21	Padova - Carpi	6:0 ✺
07.02.21	Carpi - Imolese	0:3 ✺
04.02.21	Fano - Carpi	4:0 ✺
01.02.21	Carpi - Mantova	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 TLLLW
- Südtirol-Alto Adige
Italian Serie C Group B
14.02.21	Südtirol-Alto Adige - FeralpiSalò	0:2 ✺
07.02.21	Gubbio - Südtirol-Alto Adige	1:2 ✺
03.02.21	Südtirol-Alto Adige - Matelica	4:2 ✺
30.01.21	Fermana - Südtirol-Alto Adige	1:1 ✺
24.01.21	Südtirol-Alto Adige - Ravenna	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 LWWTW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group B
21.10.20	Südtirol-Alto Adige - Carpi	3:0
12.01.20	Carpi - Südtirol-Alto Adige	1:1
01.09.19	Südtirol-Alto Adige - Carpi	2:3
Italian Lega Pro C1/A
02.06.13	Carpi - Südtirol-Alto Adige	2:2
26.05.13	Südtirol-Alto Adige - Carpi	1:2
10.02.13	Carpi - Südtirol-Alto Adige	0:2

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