Match Info

Date: 7 February 2021, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Padova		Fermana

	1	X	2
	1.44	4	6.5
	1.42	4.33	5.75
	1.38	4	6.25
	1.44	3.85	6.2
	1.43	4.46	7.54
	1.44	4.2	7
	1.58	3.88	5.25	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.45 ↓ (1.54)	4.1 ↑ (3.8)	6.36 ↑ (5.14)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Padova
63.3%

Draw
22.3%

Fermana
14.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

58.6%

23.8%

17.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.2%

14.7%

28.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Padova has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

Fermana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Padova than the current prediction. (-27.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Padova that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fermana than the current prediction. (+14.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Fermana could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Padova - Fermana Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Two teams are playing changeable.

Padova could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Padova is absolute favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Padova won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Padova won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Calcio Padova
Italian Serie C Group B
04.02.21	Mantova - Padova	0:6 ✺
31.01.21	Padova - Fano	1:1 ✺
23.01.21	Imolese - Padova	1:1 ✺
17.01.21	Sambenedettese - Padova	0:1 ✺
23.12.20	Padova - Modena	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 WTTWL
- US Fermana
Italian Serie C Group B
03.02.21	Fermana - Sambenedettese	1:0 ✺
30.01.21	Fermana - Südtirol-Alto Adige	1:1 ✺
24.01.21	Mantova - Fermana	1:0 ✺
16.01.21	Fermana - Legnago Salus	2:1 ✺
09.01.21	Virtus Verona - Fermana	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 WTLWT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group B
11.10.20	Fermana - Padova	0:1
16.02.20	Padova - Fermana	0:1
29.09.19	Fermana - Padova	1:2
22.04.18	Fermana - Padova	1:1
04.12.17	Padova - Fermana	0:0

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Calcio Padova
Italian Serie B
31.10.26	Catanzaro - Padova	✺

Padova - Fermana