Match Info

Date: 10 February 2021, Wednesday


	Padova		Carpi

	1	X	2
	1.4	4	8.5
	1.44	3.8	6.5
	1.47	3.65	5.75
	1.36	4.1	7.6
	1.37	4.47	9.55
	1.42	3.9	8.5
	1.37	4.4	8	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.4 ↓ (1.66)	4.05 ↑ (3.36)	7.77 ↑ (5.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Padova
65.5%

Draw
22.7%

Carpi
11.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.8%

27.1%

18.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.8%

21.6%

14.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Padova has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Padova's performance.

Carpi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Carpi might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Padova than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carpi than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

Padova - Carpi Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Padova is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Carpi is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Padova could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Padova is a favorite.

Carpi is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Last 8 head-to-head matches Padova won 0 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 4-9.

Including matches at home between the teams Padova won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Calcio Padova
Italian Serie C Group B
07.02.21	Padova - Fermana	1:0 ✺
04.02.21	Mantova - Padova	0:6 ✺
31.01.21	Padova - Fano	1:1 ✺
23.01.21	Imolese - Padova	1:1 ✺
17.01.21	Sambenedettese - Padova	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 WWTTW
- Carpi FC
Italian Serie C Group B
07.02.21	Carpi - Imolese	0:3 ✺
04.02.21	Fano - Carpi	4:0 ✺
01.02.21	Carpi - Mantova	2:0 ✺
27.01.21	Carpi - FeralpiSalò	1:2 ✺
24.01.21	Sambenedettese - Carpi	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group B
25.01.20	Carpi - Padova	1:1
15.09.19	Padova - Carpi	0:0
Italian Serie B
06.04.19	Carpi - Padova	2:1
24.11.18	Padova - Carpi	0:1
11.03.14	Carpi - Padova	1:1
01.02.14	Padova - Carpi	1:4

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