Match Info

ITALY: Serie C - Group B - Round 21

Date: 5 January 2025, Sunday

Location: Stadio Sandro Cabassi (Carpi)


	Carpi		Milan Futuro

	1	X	2
	1.93	3.1	3.5
	1.95	3.3	3.8
	2.19	3.31	3.13
	2	3	3.8
	1.87	3.28	3.86	Watch
	1.95	3.3	3.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.98 ↑ (1.83)	3.22 ↓ (3.36)	3.65 ↓ (4.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Carpi
46.3%

Draw
28.5%

Milan Futuro
25.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.1%

27.2%

22.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.8%

26.3%

22%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Carpi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

Milan Futuro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carpi than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Carpi, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Milan Futuro than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	20%	60%

Carpi - Milan Futuro Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Carpi will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Milan U23 will win (votes: 3 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Sorzi M. (G) 3. Cecotti T. 6. Zagnoni D. 13. Panelli T. 5. Calanca A. (C) 90. Figoli M. 30. Contiliano N. 20. Puletto F. 72. Cortesi M. 98. Saporetti S. 27. Gerbi E.	1. Nava L. (G) 19. Magni V. 15. Coubis A. 24. Minotti G. 3. Bozzolan A. 21. Sandri M. 16. Stalmach D. 39. Sala E. 10. Liberali M. 99. Magrassi A. 20. Sia D.
Substitutes
11. Amayah P. 21. Campagna S. 16. Casarini F. 12. Lorenzi C. (G) 33. Mazzali S. 31. Mazzoni M. 8. Nardi N. 22. Pezzolato M. (G) 19. Rossini M. 7. Stanzani L. 2. Verza N. . Visani R.	14. D'Alessio L. 13. Dutu M. 17. Fall M. 23. Gala A. 70. Ibrahimovic M. 7. Longo S. 6. Malaspina M. 29. Omoregbe B. 22. Pittarella M. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
38', Sandri M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Cortesi M. ↓, Casarini F. ↑,
58', Figoli M. 🟨,
69', Sala E. ↓, Fall M. ↑,
70', Calanca A. ↓, Verza N. ↑,
71', Puletto F. ↓, Stanzani L. ↑,
77', Contiliano N. ↓, Nardi N. ↑,
80', Nardi N. 🟨,
83', Saporetti S. ↓, Amayah P. ↑,
86', Magrassi A. 🟨,
89', Liberali M. ↓, Longo S. ↑,
89', Stalmach D. ↓, Malaspina M. ↑,
90+2', Casarini F. 🟨,
90+2', Coubis A. 🟨,
90+3', Longo S. 🟨,

Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 13 and 18 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out).

Recent matches Carpi is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Milan U23 is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Carpi won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Carpi FC
Italian Serie C Group B
22.12.24	Rimini - Carpi	0:0 ✺
14.12.24	Sestri Levante - Carpi	1:3 ✺
07.12.24	Carpi - Sassari Torres	1:2 ✺
30.11.24	Legnago Salus - Carpi	1:3 ✺
25.11.24	Carpi - Ternana	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 TWLWL
- Milan Futuro
Italian Serie C Group B
22.12.24	Milan Futuro - Virtus Entella	1:2 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie C
18.12.24	Milan Futuro - Caldiero Terme	0:2 ✺
Italian Serie C Group B
15.12.24	Vis Pesaro - Milan Futuro	2:1 ✺
08.12.24	Milan Futuro - Gubbio	1:0 ✺
05.12.24	Campobasso - Milan Futuro	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 LLLWT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group B
01.09.24	Milan Futuro - Carpi	1:1

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