Match Info

Serie C - Group B - Round 23

Date: 24 January 2026, Saturday

Location: Stadio Sandro Cabassi (Carpi)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 253


	Carpi		Ternana

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3	2.9	2.25
	3.4	3.05	2.12
	3.78	3.12	2.09
	3.37	3.1	2.14	Watch
	3.5	2.8	2
	3.42	2.92	2.14	Watch
	3.75	3	2.08
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.46 ↑ (3.14)	2.98 ↓ (3.07)	2.12 ↓ (2.26)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Carpi
26.4%

Draw
30.6%

Ternana
43.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.3%

30%

40.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.1%

28.8%

42.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Carpi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

Ternana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carpi than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ternana than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

Carpi - Ternana Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Sorzi M. (G) 4. Zagnoni D. (C) 17. Lombardi L. 6. Panelli T. 16. Tcheuna R. 5. Figoli M. 80. Pietra N. 7. Cecotti T. 29. Rosetti M. 28. Puletto F. 9. Gerbi E.	71. D'Alterio F. (G) 20. Donati F. 19. Capuano M. (C) 87. Martella B. 17. Kerrigan L. 16. Garetto M. 4. Vallocchia A. 43. Ndrecka A. 18. Panico G. 9. Dubickas E. 32. Pettinari S.
Substitutes
70. Arcopinto A. 11. Casarini F. 27. Giva N. 18. Mahrani Y. 90. Perta A. A. (G) 3. Rigo M. 23. Sall A. 22. Scacchetti A. (G) 10. Stanzani L. 2. Verza N.	38. Bruti T. 27. Ferrante A. 10. Leonardi S. 13. Maestrelli A. 37. Majer Z. 8. McJannet E. 14. Meccariello B. 12. Morlupo A. (G) 30. Orellana M. 80. Proietti M. 7. Romeo F. 5. Tripi F. 1. Vitali T. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
18', Capuano M. 🟨,
30', Ndrecka A. 🟨,
36', Puletto F. 🟨,
37', Dubickas E. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
57', Zagnoni D. 🟨,
61', Rosetti M. ↓, Casarini F. ↑,
67', Garetto M. ↓, Majer Z. ↑,
67', Panico G. ↓, Leonardi S. ↑,
73', Dubickas E. ↓, Ferrante A. ↑,
73', Pettinari S. ↓, Orellana M. ↑,
74', Tcheuna R. ↓, Rigo M. ↑,
74', Puletto F. ↓, Stanzani L. ↑,
78', Vallocchia A. 🟨,
79', 0 - 1, Orellana M. ⚽,
83', Figoli M. ↓, Sall A. ↑,
83', Cecotti T. ↓, Sall A. ↑,
83', Gerbi E. 🟨,
85', Kerrigan L. ↓, Maestrelli A. ↑,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 10 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals) and 11).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Carpi won 2.

Carpi is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Ternana has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Ternana may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Ternana might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Carpi won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 10:12. (average 0.8:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Carpi won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:9. (average 1.3:1.5).

Last Results with these Odds

Carpi - the odds 3.14 are the expected chance of winning is 29.31%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Carpi FC
Italian Serie C Group B
17.01.26	Campobasso - Carpi	2:0 ✺
11.01.26	Carpi - Pianese	1:1 ✺
03.01.26	Juventus U23 - Carpi	2:0 ✺
20.12.25	Carpi - Guidonia Montecelio	1:1 ✺
13.12.25	Forlì - Carpi	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 LTLTL
- Ternana Calcio
Coppa Italia Serie C
14.01.26	Ternana - Potenza	0:1 ✺
Italian Serie C Group B
09.01.26	Ascoli - Ternana	1:0 ✺
04.01.26	Ternana - Livorno	2:1 ✺
21.12.25	Pianese - Ternana	0:0 ✺
14.12.25	Ternana - Bra	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 LLWTW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group B
14.09.25	Ternana - Carpi	2:0
06.04.25	Ternana - Carpi	0:1
25.11.24	Carpi - Ternana	1:2
Coppa Italia
04.08.18	Carpi - Ternana	0:2
Italian Serie B
29.03.18	Carpi - Ternana	2:1
30.10.17	Ternana - Carpi	0:0
29.04.17	Ternana - Carpi	0:0

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