Match Info

ITALY: Serie C - Group B - Round 19

Date: 14 December 2024, Saturday

Location: Giuseppe Sivori (Sestri Levante)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, Sky Sport 254


	Sestri Levante		Carpi

	1	X	2
	2.6	3	2.45
	2.7	3.15	2.55
	2.82	3.22	2.5
	2.8	3.16	2.56
	2.62	3	2.5
	2.71	3.04	2.43	Watch
	2.7	3.15	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.71 ↑ (2.5)	3.1 ↓ (3.1)	2.51 ↓ (2.69)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sestri Levante
33.9%

Draw
29.5%

Carpi
36.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.6%

29.5%

34%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37%

29.2%

33.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sestri Levante has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

Carpi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sestri Levante than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Carpi than the current prediction. (-3%)

Sestri Levante - Carpi Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Anacoura J. (G) 27. Podda L. 95. Primasso A. 4. Pane M. 43. Montebugnoli M. 28. Giorno F. 18. Rosetti M. 8. Conti F. 7. Durmush M. 10. Clemenza L. 19. Pavanello A.	1. Sorzi M. (G) 3. Cecotti T. 6. Zagnoni D. 13. Panelli T. 5. Calanca A. 90. Figoli M. 30. Contiliano N. 20. Puletto F. 27. Gerbi E. 72. Cortesi M. 10. Saporetti S.
Substitutes
37. Brugognone G. 22. Fusco E. (G) 23. Nenci O. 25. Nunziatini F. 14. Oneto E. 9. Parravicini N. 53. Pittino T. 86. Raggio G. S. 77. Raineri T. 30. Sgambelluri D. 12. Sias F. (G)	11. Amayah P. 12. Lorenzi C. (G) 4. Mandelli A. 33. Mazzali S. 31. Mazzoni M. 8. Nardi N. 22. Pezzolato M. (G) 19. Rossini M. 23. Sall A. 17. Sereni M. 7. Stanzani L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
15', Giorno F. ↓, Nunziatini F. ↑,
35', 0 - 1, Contiliano N. ⚽,
45', 0 - 2, Puletto F. ⚽,
45+4', Figoli M. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
48', 0 - 3, Gerbi E. ⚽,
48', Pane M. 🟨,
53', Gerbi E. 🟨,
59', Conti F. ↓, Oneto E. ↑,
59', Gerbi E. ↓, Stanzani L. ↑,
60', Figoli M. ↓, Nardi N. ↑,
77', Clemenza L. ↓, Parravicini N. ↑,
77', Pavanello A. ↓, Brugognone G. ↑,
80', Cortesi M. ↓, Rossini M. ↑,
80', Cecotti T. ↓, Amayah P. ↑,
85', Calanca A. 🟨,
86', Rosetti M. 🟨,
87', Puletto F. ↓, Sereni M. ↑,
90+2', 1 - 3, Parravicini N. ⚽,

Preview

An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 19 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out and 14).

Two teams are in a poor body shape now.

Sestri Levante could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- USD Sestri Levante 1919
Italian Serie C Group B
06.12.24	Ascoli - Sestri Levante	4:1 ✺
01.12.24	Sestri Levante - Perugia	2:2 ✺
24.11.24	Milan Futuro - Sestri Levante	2:2 ✺
17.11.24	Sestri Levante - Rimini	0:3 ✺
09.11.24	Pescara - Sestri Levante	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 LTTLL
- Carpi FC
Italian Serie C Group B
07.12.24	Carpi - Sassari Torres	1:2 ✺
30.11.24	Legnago Salus - Carpi	1:3 ✺
25.11.24	Carpi - Ternana	1:2 ✺
17.11.24	Gubbio - Carpi	1:0 ✺
10.11.24	Carpi - Campobasso	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LWLLT

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