Match Info

Date: 10 October 2026, Saturday


	Pergolettese		Carpi

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.30	3.00	2.85
	2.12	2.92	3.45
	2.28	3.07	3.1	Watch
	2.34	2.98	2.89
	2.14	2.95	3.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.24 ↑ (2.12)	2.98 ↓ (3.02)	3.15 ↓ (3.52)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pergolettese
40.7%

Draw
30.5%

Carpi
28.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.4%

30.5%

26.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.4%

29.8%

25.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pergolettese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

Carpi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pergolettese than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Carpi than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	0%

Pergolettese - Carpi Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

An exciting matchup between two close rivals in the standings (ranked 15th and 16th).

In recent outings, Pergolettese has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Carpi is experiencing a dip in performance (last 5 matches: 0 wins).

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Pergolettese holding a narrow advantage.

No recent head-to-head matches have been recorded between these two competitors.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
15	Pergolettese	8	1	5	2	3:5	-2	8
16	Carpi	8	1	3	4	10:17	-7	6

Last Results with these Odds

Pergolettese - the odds 2.12 are the expected chance of winning is 43.4%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Pergolettese
Italian Serie C Group A
03.10.26	Union ArzignanoChiampo - Pergolettese	2:2 ✺
26.09.26	Pergolettese - Trento	0:0 ✺
20.09.26	Lecco - Pergolettese	0:0 ✺
17.09.26	Pergolettese - Folgore Caratese	0:0 ✺
13.09.26	Novara - Pergolettese	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.1 TTTTW
- Carpi FC
Italian Serie C Group A
03.10.26	Pro Vercelli - Carpi	2:0 ✺
27.09.26	Carpi - Union ArzignanoChiampo	0:3 ✺
20.09.26	Novara - Carpi	2:2 ✺
17.09.26	Carpi - Ospitaletto	2:2 ✺
13.09.26	Carpi - Cittadella	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LLTTL

Pergolettese - Carpi: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide