Match Info

Serie C - Group A - Round 9

Date: 10 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Giuseppe Voltini (Crema) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Rossini G. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Italy	14:30	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia


	Pergolettese		Carpi

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.05	3.10	3.20
	2.30	2.95	2.75	Watch
	2.34	3.05	3.51
	2.15	3.07	3.37	Watch
	2.30	2.80	3.45
	2.26	3.14	3.25	Watch
	2.11	3.10	3.30
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.22 ↑ (2.12)	3.03 ↑ (3.02)	3.26 ↓ (3.52)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pergolettese
41.5%

Draw
30.3%

Carpi
28.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

43.4%

30.5%

26.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.4%

29.8%

25.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pergolettese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

Carpi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pergolettese than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Carpi than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

Pergolettese - Carpi Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Doldi F. (G) 76. Roversi L. 4. Arini M. (C) 5. Silvestri T. 49. Zaia E. 20. Tremolada M. 30. Berretta A. 10. Ferrandino D. 80. Jaouhari Z. 7. Pala A. 11. Corti N.	1. Scacchetti A. (G) 19. Rossini M. 4. Zagnoni D. (C) 24. Desole F. 7. Cecotti T. 5. Figoli M. 21. Forapani M. 10. Casarini F. 90. Vitale V. 11. Puletto F. 9. Montipo M.
Substitutes
70. Antolini J. 18. Avena P. 73. Bassi E. 28. Berti R. 1. Cordaro L. (G) 15. Dell'Orco C. 21. Evangelista C. 90. Giroletti M. J. 77. Orlandi A. 27. Pavanello A. 24. Pavesi D. 9. Rossetti M.	6. Astrologo A. 8. Bagatti N. 18. Carcani T. 22. Gasperini T. (G) 17. Lombardi L. 2. Maggio S. 23. Morosini L. 16. Nesi L. 12. Perta A. A. (G) 83. Sall A. 25. Vaglica G.
Coaches
Giosa A.	Cassani S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
24', 1 - 0, Corti N. ⚽, Jaouhari Z. (A),
30', 2 - 0, Corti N. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Casarini F. ↓, Morosini L. ↑,
46', Forapani M. ↓, Astrologo A. ↑,
53', Desole F. 🟨,
60', Montipo M. ↓, Sall A. ↑,
60', Desole F. ↓, Lombardi L. ↑,
70', Ferrandino D. 🟨,
71', Corti N. ↓, Rossetti M. ↑,
71', Pala A. ↓, Evangelista C. ↑,
72', 2 - 1, Lombardi L. ⚽,
77', Vitale V. ↓, Carcani T. ↑,
81', Ferrandino D. ↓, Bassi E. ↑,
81', Berretta A. ↓, Orlandi A. ↑,
83', Lombardi L. 🟨,
84', Rossini M. 🟥,

Preview

A direct battle for position between neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 15th and 16th).

Pergolettese has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Carpi is experiencing a dip in performance (last 5 matches: 0 wins).

Pergolettese is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

These two teams have no recorded direct encounters in recent history.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Pergolettese	11	4	5	2	10:9	1	17
13	Carpi	11	3	3	5	16:21	-5	12

Last Results with these Odds

Pergolettese - the odds 2.12 are the expected chance of winning is 43.4%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Pergolettese
Italian Serie C Group A
03.10.26	Union ArzignanoChiampo - Pergolettese	2:2 ✺
26.09.26	Pergolettese - Trento	0:0 ✺
20.09.26	Lecco - Pergolettese	0:0 ✺
17.09.26	Pergolettese - Folgore Caratese	0:0 ✺
13.09.26	Novara - Pergolettese	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.1 TTTTW
- Carpi FC
Italian Serie C Group A
03.10.26	Pro Vercelli - Carpi	2:0 ✺
27.09.26	Carpi - Union ArzignanoChiampo	0:3 ✺
20.09.26	Novara - Carpi	2:2 ✺
17.09.26	Carpi - Ospitaletto	2:2 ✺
13.09.26	Carpi - Cittadella	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LLTTL

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