Match Info

Date: 1 February 2021, Monday


	Carpi		Mantova

	1	X	2
	2.55	3.1	2.55
	2.45	3.1	2.65	Watch
	2.55	3	2.6
	2.55	2.85	2.65
	2.78	3.06	2.79
	2.5	3.1	2.8
	2.36	3.28	2.83	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.53 ↑ (2.3)	3.07 ↓ (3.14)	2.7 ↓ (2.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Carpi
36.2%

Draw
29.8%

Mantova
34%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.2%

28.8%

32%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.2%

21.4%

43%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Carpi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

Mantova has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Carpi than the current prediction. (-7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Carpi that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mantova than the current prediction. (+9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Mantova could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
27%	48.6%	24.3%

Carpi - Mantova Predictions

Users Predictions: 37 users predict this event. Carpi will win (votes: 10 - 27%). Mantova will win (votes: 9 - 24.3%). It will Tie (votes: 18 - 48.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 32.5% – 64.7%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 12 and 9 in the zone Promotion to Serie C to Promotion to Play Offs).

Carpi is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Mantova is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Carpi could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Carpi won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Carpi FC
Italian Serie C Group B
27.01.21	Carpi - FeralpiSalò	1:2 ✺
24.01.21	Sambenedettese - Carpi	5:1 ✺
20.01.21	Matelica - Carpi	1:0 ✺
17.01.21	Carpi - Ravenna	4:2 ✺
13.12.20	Carpi - Gubbio	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 LLLWT
- Mantova FC
Italian Serie C Group B
24.01.21	Mantova - Fermana	1:0 ✺
16.01.21	Mantova - Triestina	0:0 ✺
10.01.21	Vis Pesaro - Mantova	1:4 ✺
23.12.20	Mantova - Gubbio	1:2 ✺
20.12.20	Legnago Salus - Mantova	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 WTWLT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group B
04.10.20	Mantova - Carpi	1:2

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