Match Info

Serie B - Round 14

Date: 29 November 2025, Saturday

Location: Stadio Renzo Barbera (Palermo)

Referee: Perri M. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Claro TV+, IT tv Plus, Sky+, SportyNet, Zapping
Israel	5 LIVE Israel
Italy	DAZN Italia, LAB Channel
Russia	Telekanal Futbol
Switzerland	Blue Sport 7, Blue Sport 7
World	Onefootball


	Palermo		Carrarese

	1	X	2
	1.62	3.5	5.5	Watch
	1.65	3.6	5.15	Watch
	1.68	3.75	5.97
	1.76	3.37	4.85	Watch
	1.68	3.65	5.04	Watch
	1.63	3.5	6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.67 ↓ (1.74)	3.56 ↑ (3.46)	5.42 ↑ (4.81)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Palermo
56.3%

Draw
26.4%

Carrarese
17.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.7%

27%

19.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.7%

26.5%

19%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Palermo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

Carrarese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Palermo than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carrarese than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	26.7%	33.3%

Palermo - Carrarese Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Palermo will win (votes: 6 - 40%). Carrarese will win (votes: 5 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 26.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Palermo: 15.2% – 64.8%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Palermo (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Carrarese (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
66. Joronen J. (G) 19. Bereszynski B. 13. Bani M. (C) 32. Ceccaroni P. 27. Pierozzi N. 8. Segre J. 10. Ranocchia F. 3. Augello T. 5. Palumbo A. 21. Le Douaron J. 20. Pohjanpalo J.	1. Bleve M. (G) 37. Calabrese N. 4. Illanes J. 3. Imperiale M. (C) 72. Zanon S. 18. Schiavi N. 17. Zuelli E. 70. Hasa L. 11. Cicconi M. 44. Sekulov N. 9. Abiuso F.
Substitutes
22. Bardi F. (G) 28. Blin A. 9. Brunori M. 31. Corona G. 23. Diakite S. 17. Giovane S. 1. Gomis A. (G) 29. Peda P. 14. Vasic A. 72. Veroli D.	7. Belloni N. 13. Bouah D. 10. Bozhanaj K. 28. Di Stefano F. 32. Finotto M. 99. Fiorillo V. (G) 8. Melegoni F. 6. Oliana F. 77. Parlanti G. 21. Rubino T. 5. Salamon B. 92. Torregrossa E.
Coaches
Inzaghi F.	Calabro A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
24', 1 - 0, Segre J. ⚽, Pohjanpalo J. (A),
30', Palumbo A. 🟨,
33', Le Douaron J. ↓, Vasic A. ↑,
40', Illanes J. 🟨,
44', 2 - 0, Palumbo A. ⚽, Segre J. (A),
2nd Half (3 - 0)
46', Sekulov N. ↓, Finotto M. ↑,
48', 3 - 0, Pohjanpalo J. ⚽,
51', Zuelli E. ↓, Bozhanaj K. ↑,
61', Ceccaroni P. ↓, Veroli D. ↑,
61', Palumbo A. ↓, Giovane S. ↑,
67', Cicconi M. ↓, Belloni N. ↑,
68', Abiuso F. ↓, Rubino T. ↑,
72', Vasic A. 🟨,
78', Finotto M. 🟨,
79', Schiavi N. ↓, Parlanti G. ↑,
80', Calabrese N. 🟨,
82', 4 - 0, Pohjanpalo J. (Pen),
83', Bani M. ↓, Peda P. ↑,
83', Segre J. ↓, Brunori M. ↑,
88', 5 - 0, Pohjanpalo J. ⚽, Pierozzi N. (A),

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 10).

Palermo has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Carrarese has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Palermo is the team to beat.

There will not play in Palermo: Gomes C. (Injury) Gyasi E. (Calf Injury)

There will not play in Carrarese: Ruggeri F. (Inactive)

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Palermo won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.5:1).

Including home match between the teams, Palermo won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- U.S. Città di Palermo
Italian Serie B
22.11.25	Virtus Entella - Palermo	1:1 ✺
08.11.25	Juve Stabia - Palermo	1:0 ✺
01.11.25	Palermo - Pescara	5:0 ✺
28.10.25	Palermo - Monza	0:3 ✺
25.10.25	Catanzaro - Palermo	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 TLWLL
- Carrarese Calcio
Italian Serie B
22.11.25	Carrarese - Reggiana	0:0 ✺
08.11.25	Südtirol-Alto Adige - Carrarese	1:1 ✺
01.11.25	Carrarese - Frosinone	0:2 ✺
28.10.25	Cesena - Carrarese	2:1 ✺
25.10.25	Carrarese - Venezia	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 TTLLW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
13.05.25	Palermo - Carrarese	1:1
07.12.24	Carrarese - Palermo	1:0

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