Match Info

Serie B - Round 8

Date: 25 October 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Stadio Renzo Barbera (Palermo) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Drigo M. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Brazil	11:00	SportyNet
Italy	15:00	DAZN Italia, Destination Calcio, LAB Channel
Switzerland	15:00	Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1
Turkey	17:00	Sifir
International	14:00	OneFootball TV


	Palermo		Carrarese

	1	X	2
	1.49	4.10	6.00	Watch
	1.51	4.33	5.75
	1.41	4.60	7.00	Watch
	1.52	4.63	6.49
	1.46	4.67	6.1	Watch
	1.50	4.55	6.10
	1.55	4.14	6.06	Watch
	1.45	4.25	5.50
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.49 ↑ (1.33)	4.41 ↓ (4.8)	6.13 ↓ (8)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Palermo
63.3%

Draw
21.3%

Carrarese
15.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

69.3%

19.2%

11.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

74.2%

17.9%

10.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Palermo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Palermo's form might have worsened.

Carrarese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Palermo than the current prediction. (+10.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Palermo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Carrarese than the current prediction. (-4.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Palermo - Carrarese Predictions

Users Predictions: Palermo will win (10 of 10 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Perin M. (G) 84. Cassandro T. 96. Magnani G. 32. Ceccaroni P. 3. Augello T. 8. Segre J. (C) 10. Ranocchia F. 9. Vavassori D. 23. Hernani 17. Johnsen D. 20. Pohjanpalo J.	1. Pizzignacco S. (G) 13. Ruggeri F. 6. Oliana F. 33. Reale F. 77. Parlanti G. 18. Schiavi N. (C) 23. Braunoder M. 28. Martini J. 73. Rouhi J. 9. Abiuso F. 17. Topalovic L.
Substitutes
13. Bani M. 33. Bozzolan A. 24. Estevez N. 14. Fortin M. (G) 99. Gabrielloni A. 6. Gomes C. 11. Gyasi E. 36. Mazzitelli L. 12. Nespola M. (G) 29. Peda P. 27. Pierozzi N.	11. Cisse M. 70. Cudrig N. 20. Esteves G. 32. Finotto M. 12. Garofani G. (G) 78. Guercio T. 8. Khafi Y. 5. Macchioni T. 91. Marconi G. 30. Ravaglia N. (G) 41. Romani L. 10. Rubino T.
Coaches
Inzaghi F.	Pagliuca G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
22', Topalovic L. 🟨,
26', 1 - 0, Johnsen D. ⚽, Hernani (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Topalovic L. ↓, Marconi G. ↑,
61', Segre J. ↓, Estevez N. ↑,
61', Ranocchia F. ↓, Mazzitelli L. ↑,
65', Magnani G. ↓, Peda P. ↑,
67', Martini J. ↓, Rubino T. ↑,
68', Parlanti G. ↓, Guercio T. ↑,
74', 1 - 1, Rubino T. ⚽, Marconi G. (A),
80', 2 - 1, Vavassori D. ⚽,
82', Vavassori D. ↓, Gabrielloni A. ↑,
82', Pohjanpalo J. ↓, Bani M. ↑,
89', Ruggeri F. ↓, Finotto M. ↑,
89', Braunoder M. ↓, Cisse M. ↑,
90+3', Oliana F. 🟨,

Preview

One of the top-ranked clubs faces a lower-table side fighting for vital survival points (ranked 1st in the Promotion - Serie A and 17th in the Serie B (Play Out: )).

Palermo arrives with excellent momentum after picking up several victories (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Performances by Carrarese have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Palermo could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

The betting markets point to Palermo as the clear and undisputed favorite.

Confirmed absences for Palermo: Barba F. (Inactive) Joronen J. (Shoulder Injury) Pierozzi N. (Inactive) Strefezza G. (Injury).

Confirmed absences for Carrarese: Bonfanti N. (Inactive) Dagba C. (Injury).

Our forecast points to a victory for Palermo in today's match, at odds of 1.44.

In the last 4 head-to-head meetings, Palermo has recorded 2 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 7:2 (averaging 1.8:0.5 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Palermo against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with 6:1 goals (averaging 3:0.5 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Palermo	8	7	1	0	18:8	10	22
18	Carrarese	8	2	1	5	7:9	-2	7

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- U.S. Città di Palermo
Italian Serie B
17.10.26	Mantova - Palermo	0:2 ✺
10.10.26	Empoli - Palermo	2:4 ✺
19.09.26	Palermo - Padova	2:1 ✺
13.09.26	Avellino - Palermo	1:1 ✺
07.09.26	Palermo - Sampdoria	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 WWWTW
- Carrarese Calcio
Italian Serie B
17.10.26	Carrarese - Modena	2:1 ✺
11.10.26	Padova - Carrarese	0:2 ✺
19.09.26	Carrarese - Benevento	0:1 ✺
12.09.26	Catanzaro - Carrarese	1:0 ✺
05.09.26	Carrarese - Empoli	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.7 WWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
08.03.26	Carrarese - Palermo	0:1
29.11.25	Palermo - Carrarese	5:0
13.05.25	Palermo - Carrarese	1:1
07.12.24	Carrarese - Palermo	1:0

Upcoming Matches