The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Carrarese 20.5%
Draw 26.6%
Modena 52.9%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
26.4%
28.5%
45.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
25.8%
27.9%
46.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Carrarese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Carrarese's form might have worsened.
Modena has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.8%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Modena's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carrarese than the current prediction. (+5.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Carrarese, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Modena than the current prediction. (-6.8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Modena, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
0%
100%
Carrarese - Modena Predictions
Users Predictions:
Modena will win
(8 of 8 users predict this - 100%). Confidence interval (95%): 100% โ 100%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Modena will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) ๐ฅ Bronze Tip.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Preview
A high-stakes clash as a relegation-threatened team welcomes an elite contender (ranked 17th in the Serie B (Play Out: ) and 3rd in the Promotion - Serie B Playoffs - Semi - finals).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Carrarese won 1.
Recent results have been tough for Carrarese (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Modena shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Modena carries the favorite tag into this contest.
Confirmed absences for Carrarese: Dagba C.
(Injury).
Confirmed absences for Modena: Bozhanaj K.
(Inactive)
Manquant J.
(Knee Injury)
Sarris G.
(Inactive)
Sersanti A.
(Knee Injury).
In the last 6 head-to-head meetings, Carrarese has recorded 1 win, 1 draw, and 4 losses, with a goal aggregate of 4:10 (averaging 0.7:1.7 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Carrarese against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with 4:4 goals (averaging 1.3:1.3 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
3
Modena
6
4
1
1
11:6
5
13
19
Carrarese
6
1
1
4
4:6
-2
4
Last Results with these Odds
Carrarese - the odds 3.52 are the expected chance of winning is 26.39%, but this team recently wins 11% of matches with these odds.
Modena - the odds 2.06 are the expected chance of winning is 45.14%, but this team recently wins 23% of matches with these odds.