Match Info

ITALY: SERIE C - GROUP B - ROUND 19

Date: 23 December 2023, Saturday

Location: Stadio Paolo Mazza (Ferrara)


	SPAL		Olbia

	1	X	2
	1.95	3	3.6
	2	3	4	Watch
	2.02	3.11	4.09
	1.92	3.11	4.1
	1.95	3	3.8
	1.88	3.13	4
	2.01	3.1	3.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.96 ↓ (2.23)	3.06 ↑ (3.05)	3.88 ↑ (3.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

SPAL
46.6%

Draw
29.8%

Olbia
23.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.1%

30%

28.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.7%

28.2%

30.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

SPAL has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in SPAL's performance.

Olbia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Olbia might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for SPAL than the current prediction. (-7.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with SPAL that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Olbia than the current prediction. (+7.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Olbia could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

SPAL - Olbia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Alfonso E. (G) 33. Tripaldelli A. 13. Bassoli A. 27. Peda P. 2. Fiordaliso A. 6. Bertini M. 37. Maistro F. 25. Carraro M. 5. Contiliano N. 75. Rao E. 11. Rabbi S.	1. Rinaldi F. (G) 17. Palomba L. 5. Bellodi G. 39. Motolese M. 23. Arboleda C. 26. Mameli A. 4. Dessena D. 43. Montebugnoli M. 21. Biancu R. 10. Ragatzu D. 18. Nanni N.
Substitutes
90. Angeletti T. 7. Antenucci M. 3. Bruscagin M. 21. Celia R. 8. Collodel R. 28. Del Favero M. (G) 44. Dumbravanu D. 71. Edera 22. Meneghetti M. (G) 9. Orfei A. 14. Parravicini F. 80. Puletto F. 16. Saiani F. 97. Serigne Deme 4. Valentini N.	11. Contini G. 9. Corti A. 27. Fabbri F. 29. Gennari M. 6. Incerti D. F. 3. La Rosa L. 7. Mordini D. 12. Palmisani L. (G) 67. Scapin T. 22. van der Want M. (G) 2. Zallu F. 15. Zanchetta F.

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 19 in the zone Serie C ~ Group A and 18 in the zone Serie C ~ Group A).

Recent matches SPAL is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Olbia is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

SPAL will have a poor advantage in this game.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SPAL 2013
Italian Serie C Group B
16.12.23	Pineto - SPAL	1:1 ✺
09.12.23	SPAL - Virtus Entella	0:0 ✺
02.12.23	Gubbio - SPAL	0:0 ✺
25.11.23	SPAL - Ancona	2:2 ✺
19.11.23	Carrarese - SPAL	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 TTTTL
- US Olbia 1905
Italian Serie C Group B
17.12.23	Olbia - Pontedera	0:3 ✺
09.12.23	Pescara - Olbia	4:0 ✺
06.12.23	Olbia - Rimini	0:0 ✺
03.12.23	Olbia - Perugia	0:1 ✺
26.11.23	Sestri Levante - Olbia	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 LLTLT

SPAL - Olbia: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide