Match Info

Serie B - Round 2

Date: 31 August 2025, Sunday

Location: Stadio dei Marmi (Carrara)

Referee: Zanotti A. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	DAZN Italia


	Carrarese		Padova

	1	X	2
	2.4	3	3.1	Watch
	2.4	3.1	2.95
	2.42	3	2.98
	2.54	3.1	3.15
	2.50	2.91	3.06	Watch
	2.05	3	3.7
	2.48	3.08	3.08	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.4 ↑ (1.97)	3.03 ↓ (3.23)	3.15 ↓ (4.01)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Carrarese
39.1%

Draw
31%

Padova
29.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.6%

29%

23.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Carrarese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Carrarese's form might have worsened.

Padova has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Padova's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
92.3%	7.7%	0%

Carrarese - Padova Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.25 - Carrarese (2.07) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Carrarese will win (11 of 12 users predict this - 91.67%).
Confidence interval (95%): 76.03% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Carrarese will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Carrarese (votes: 6 - 85.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Bleve M. (G) 26. Ruggeri F. 4. Illanes J. 3. Imperiale M. (C) 72. Zanon S. 77. Parlanti G. 17. Zuelli E. 11. Cicconi M. 32. Finotto M. 10. Bozhanaj K. 9. Abiuso F.	14. Fortin M. (G) 32. Sgarbi F. 5. Perrotta M. 72. Faedo C. 17. Capelli A. 8. Fusi P. 33. Baselli D. 3. Barreca A. 7. Varas K. (C) 23. Di Maggio L. 20. Bortolussi M.
Substitutes
80. Accornero F. 7. Belloni N. 13. Bouah D. 37. Calabrese N. 99. Fiorillo V. (G) 12. Garofani G. (G) 8. Melegoni F. 6. Oliana F. 21. Rubino T. 5. Salamon B. 23. Scheffer M. 24. Sekulov N.	21. Bacci J. 13. Boi A. 92. Buonaiuto C. 6. Crisetig L. 30. Favale G. 18. Ghiglione P. 44. Harder J. 15. Lasagna K. 1. Mouquet L. (G) 58. Pastina C. 22. Sorrentino A. (G) 55. Villa L.
Coaches
Calabro A.	Andreoletti M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
15', Barreca A. 🟨,
39', Fusi P. 🟨,
45+1', Ruggeri F. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Parlanti G. ↓, Melegoni F. ↑,
58', Ruggeri F. ↓, Bouah D. ↑,
58', Abiuso F. ↓, Accornero F. ↑,
60', Fusi P. 🟨,
65', Di Maggio L. ↓, Harder J. ↑,
67', Melegoni F. 🟨,
69', Illanes J. 🟨,
69', Bozhanaj K. ↓, Sekulov N. ↑,
76', Bortolussi M. ↓, Lasagna K. ↑,
79', Zanon S. ↓, Belloni N. ↑,
85', Baselli D. ↓, Crisetig L. ↑,
85', Barreca A. ↓, Favale G. ↑,

Preview

Recent performances by Carrarese have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Padova may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Carrarese has had a series of away games.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

There will not play in Padova: Bacci J. (Muscle Injury) Papu Gomez (Suspended) Seghetti A. (Injury) Silva J. (Foot Injury)

There are questionable in Padova: Belli F. (Injury)

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Carrarese won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Including home match between the teams, Carrarese won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Carrarese Calcio
Italian Serie B
24.08.25	Spezia - Carrarese	0:2 ✺
Coppa Italia
18.08.25	Udinese - Carrarese	2:0 ✺
Club Friendly
14.08.25	Camaiore - Carrarese	0:2 ✺
03.08.25	Lecce - Carrarese	1:0 ✺
25.07.25	Fiorentina - Carrarese	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 WLWLL
- Calcio Padova
Italian Serie B
23.08.25	Empoli - Padova	3:1 ✺
Coppa Italia
10.08.25	Padova - Vicenza Virtus	0:2 ✺
Club Friendly
24.07.25	Padova - Sassari Torres	Canceled ✺
Italian Super Cup Serie C
17.05.25	Padova - Virtus Entella	0:1 ✺
03.05.25	Avellino - Padova	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LL?LW

Latest Head to Head

Coppa Italia Serie C
23.11.16	Carrarese - Padova	0:1

Upcoming Matches