Match Info

Serie B - Round 1

Date: 23 August 2025, Saturday

Location: Stadio Carlo Castellani (Empoli)

Referee: Caputi M. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	DAZN Italia


	Empoli		Padova

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.3	3.9	Watch
	1.9	3.4	3.9
	1.95	3.2	3.95	Watch
	2	3.27	4.42
	2.10	2.98	3.87	Watch
	1.91	3.3	3.9
	1.98	3.34	4.07	Watch
	1.79	3.45	3.56
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.95 ↑ (1.79)	3.28 ↓ (3.45)	3.95 ↑ (3.56)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Empoli
47.9%

Draw
28.4%

Padova
23.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.5%

25.7%

24.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Empoli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Padova has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
81.8%	18.2%	0%

Empoli - Padova Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Empoli (votes: 3 - 60%). Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

Users Predictions: Empoli will win (9 of 11 users predict this - 81.82%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.03% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Fulignati A. (G) 2. Curto M. 20. Lovato M. 5. Obaretin N. 7. Elia S. 8. Belardinelli L. (C) 14. Yepes G. 25. Ignacchiti L. 79. Carboni F. 11. Shpendi S. 10. Ilie R.	14. Fortin M. (G) 72. Faedo C. 55. Villa L. 3. Barreca A. 4. Belli F. 23. Di Maggio L. 8. Fusi P. 17. Capelli A. 33. Baselli D. 20. Bortolussi M. 7. Varas K. (C)
Substitutes
41. Asmussen A. 38. Baralla A. 53. Busiello D. 15. Ceesay J. 24. Ebuehi T. 28. Indragoli G. 37. Kaczmarski I. 31. Moray J. 27. Moruzzi B. 96. Orlandi A. 77. Popov B. 22. Versari F. (G)	92. Buonaiuto C. 6. Crisetig L. 30. Favale G. 18. Ghiglione P. 44. Harder J. 15. Lasagna K. 1. Mouquet L. (G) 58. Pastina C. 5. Perrotta M. 32. Sgarbi F. 22. Sorrentino A. (G) 77. Tumiatti F.
Coaches
Pagliuca G.	Andreoletti M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
20', 1 - 0, Shpendi S. ⚽, Curto M. (A),
25', 1 - 1, Bortolussi M. ⚽, Varas K. (A),
28', Shpendi S. ↓, Popov B. ↑,
41', 2 - 1, Popov B. ⚽,
45+3', Yepes G. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
49', Capelli A. 🟨,
54', Baselli D. 🟨,
57', Barreca A. 🟨,
65', Di Maggio L. ↓, Ghiglione P. ↑,
65', Belli F. ↓, Perrotta M. ↑,
66', 3 - 1, Popov B. ⚽, Elia S. (A),
74', Capelli A. ↓, Harder J. ↑,
74', Baselli D. ↓, Buonaiuto C. ↑,
74', Ghiglione P. 🟨,
79', Ilie R. ↓, Ceesay J. ↑,
81', Fusi P. ↓, Lasagna K. ↑,
88', Elia S. ↓, Ebuehi T. ↑,
88', Carboni F. ↓, Moruzzi B. ↑,
88', Yepes G. ↓, Kaczmarski I. ↑,
90+3', Belardinelli L. 🟨,

Preview

In this match, Empoli is considered a favorite.

There will not play in Empoli: Haas N. (Knee Injury) Pellegri P. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Padova: Papu Gomez (Suspended)

There are questionable in Padova: Silva J. (Foot Injury)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Empoli won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:5. (average 1.2:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Empoli won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 2:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Empoli
Coppa Italia
15.08.25	Empoli - Reggiana	2:1 penalties ✺
Club Friendly
05.08.25	Empoli - Sassuolo	0:0 ✺
30.07.25	Empoli - Pisa	2:3 ✺
26.07.25	Empoli - Virtus Entella	1:2 ✺
Italian Serie A
25.05.25	Empoli - Verona	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WTLLL
- Calcio Padova
Coppa Italia
10.08.25	Padova - Vicenza Virtus	0:2 ✺
Club Friendly
24.07.25	Padova - Sassari Torres	Canceled ✺
Italian Super Cup Serie C
17.05.25	Padova - Virtus Entella	0:1 ✺
03.05.25	Avellino - Padova	0:1 ✺
Italian Serie C Group A
25.04.25	Lumezzane - Padova	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 L?LWT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
22.02.14	Padova - Empoli	0:1
21.09.13	Empoli - Padova	3:1
23.02.13	Empoli - Padova	1:1
25.09.12	Padova - Empoli	2:0
18.02.12	Padova - Empoli	1:1

Upcoming Matches