Match Info

ITALY: SERIE C - GROUP B - ROUND 10

Date: 26 October 2023, Thursday


	Carrarese		Pineto

	1	X	2
	1.46	3.8	6
	1.47	4	7	Watch
	1.51	3.85	6.7
	1.52	3.81	6.7
	1.5	3.8	6
	1.46	3.82	6.45
	1.47	3.85	6.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.48 ↓ (1.68)	3.85 ↑ (3.2)	6.46 ↑ (4.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Carrarese
61.9%

Draw
23.9%

Pineto
14.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.2%

27.9%

18.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.9%

29.3%

17.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Carrarese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Carrarese's performance.

Pineto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Carrarese than the current prediction. (-6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Carrarese that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pineto than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

Carrarese - Pineto Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Bleve M. (G) 4. Illanes J. 15. Di Gennaro M. 3. Imperiale M. 72. Zanon S. 5. Della L. S. 18. Schiavi N. 8. Palmieri R. 11. Cicconi M. 28. Capello A. 24. Morosini L.	22. Tonti A. (G) 23. De Santis S. 4. Di Filippo N. 30. Villa L. 70. Teraschi M. 8. Germinario G. 6. Amadio S. 21. Lombardi L. 20. Della Quercia R. 7. Volpicelli E. 9. Gambale D.
Substitutes
39. Belloni N. 26. Cartano R. 6. Cerretelli F. 99. Giannetti N. 7. Grassini D. 22. Mazzini S. (G) 20. Opoola M. O. 10. Panico G. 23. Raimo A. 27. Simeri S. 12. Tampucci T. (G) 17. Zuelli E.	27. Baggi F. 19. Borsoi M. 29. Chakir A. 24. Evangelisti N. 77. Foglia M. 36. Grilli M. (G) 32. Macario G. 14. Marafini A. 1. Mercorelli S. (G) 11. Njambe M. 17. Ruggiero M. 66. Traini D.

Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs and 9 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs).

Recent matches Carrarese is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Pineto is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Pineto could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Carrarese is indisputable favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Carrarese Calcio
Italian Serie C Group B
23.10.23	Sestri Levante - Carrarese	1:0 ✺
15.10.23	Carrarese - Ancona	1:0 ✺
09.10.23	Gubbio - Carrarese	2:0 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie C
04.10.23	Carrarese - Pontedera	0:1 ✺
Italian Serie C Group B
30.09.23	Carrarese - Virtus Entella	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LWLLW
- ASD Pineto Calcio
Italian Serie C Group B
22.10.23	Pineto - Cesena	1:1 ✺
11.10.23	Pineto - Pescara	1:0 ✺
08.10.23	Pineto - Pontedera	4:1 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie C
04.10.23	Ancona - Pineto	0:1 ✺
Italian Serie C Group B
30.09.23	Lucchese - Pineto	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.9 TWWWL

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