Match Info

Serie C - Group B - Round 35

Date: 4 April 2025, Friday

Location: Mimmo Pavone-Alessandro Mariani (Pineto)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 252
World	FIFA+


	Pineto		Pescara

	1	X	2
	4.5	3.4	1.65
	3.75	3.25	1.98
	3.87	3.24	2.01	Watch
	4.8	3.3	1.7
	3.79	3.26	2	Watch
	3.75	3.25	1.98
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.08 ↑ (2.78)	3.28 ↑ (3.19)	1.89 ↓ (2.36)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pineto
22.7%

Draw
28.2%

Pescara
49.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.8%

28.6%

38.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.1%

29.2%

39.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pineto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Pineto's form might have worsened.

Pescara has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Pescara's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pineto than the current prediction. (+9.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Pineto, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pescara than the current prediction. (-9.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Pescara, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	30%	50%

Pineto - Pescara Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Pineto will win (votes: 2 - 20%). Pescara will win (votes: 5 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 30%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Pescara: 19% – 81%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Tonti A. (C) 11. Borsoi M. 28. Ingrosso G. 14. De Santis S. 17. Baggi F. 5. Schirone L. 21. Lombardi L. 8. Germinario G. 7. Tunjov G. 9. Gambale D. 10. Bruzzaniti G.	22. Plizzari A. (G) 2. Letizia G. 13. Brosco R. (C) 16. Crialese C. 27. Moruzzi B. 7. Meazzi L. 5. Kraja E. 8. Dagasso M. 21. Ferraris A. 10. Merola D. 20. Bentivegna A.
Substitutes
87. Barretta M. (G) 29. Chakir M. A. 23. Fabrizi L. 77. Gatto M. 3. Giannini D. 98. Hadziosmanovic C. 13. Ienco S. 24. Marafini A. 1. Marone F. (G) 25. Marrancone A. 31. Nebuloso G. 4. Stambolliu M.	9. Alberti T. 40. Arena A. 11. Cangiano G. 28. De Marco A. 42. Isufi A. 79. Lancini E. 26. Leonardi 77. Pierozzi E. 12. Profeta N. (G) 30. Saccomanni G. 1. Saio I. (G) 6. Squizzato N. 25. Staver C. 15. Tonin R. 14. Valzania L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
27', Baggi F. 🟨,
33', Crialese C. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Moruzzi B. ↓, Arena A. ↑,
55', Meazzi L. ↓, Valzania L. ↑,
60', Germinario G. 🟨,
63', Schirone L. 🟨,
69', Baggi F. ↓, Hadziosmanovic C. ↑,
69', Tunjov G. ↓, Chakir M. A. ↑,
77', Tonti A. 🟨,
78', Borsoi M. 🟨,
79', Marone F. ↓, Fabrizi L. ↑,
81', 1 - 0, Chakir M. A. ⚽,
84', Borsoi M. ↓, Ienco S. ↑,
84', Bruzzaniti G. ↓, Marrancone A. ↑,
86', Kraja E. 🟨,
88', Letizia G. 🟨,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/16~finals)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Pineto won 3.

Pineto is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Pescara is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Pineto could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Pescara is a favorite.

There will not play in Pineto: Schirone L. (Yellow Cards)

There will not play in Pescara: Bentivegna A. (Inactive) Lonardi L. (Knee Injury) Staver C. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Pineto: Pellegrino A. (Injury)

Last 9 head-to-head matches Pineto won 5 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 10:11 (average 1.1:1.2).

Including matches at home between the teams Pineto won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4:3 (average 1.3:1).

Last Results with these Odds

Pescara - the odds 2.36 are the expected chance of winning is 38.59%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ASD Pineto Calcio
Italian Serie C Group B
28.03.25	Perugia - Pineto	3:0 ✺
23.03.25	Pineto - SPAL	3:2 ✺
15.03.25	Carpi - Pineto	1:1 ✺
11.03.25	Pineto - Milan Futuro	2:1 ✺
08.03.25	Ascoli - Pineto	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 LWTWW
- Pescara
Italian Serie C Group B
23.03.25	Sestri Levante - Pescara	3:1 ✺
15.03.25	Pescara - Vis Pesaro	2:2 ✺
11.03.25	Pontedera - Pescara	0:3 ✺
07.03.25	Pescara - Lucchese	4:1 ✺
01.03.25	Pescara - SPAL	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LTWWT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group B
25.11.24	Pescara - Pineto	0:1
Coppa Italia Serie C
11.08.24	Pescara - Pineto	0:2
Italian Serie C Group B
03.02.24	Pescara - Pineto	2:0
Coppa Italia Serie C
09.11.23	Pescara - Pineto	1:0
Italian Serie C Group B
11.10.23	Pineto - Pescara	1:0
Club Friendly
10.08.23	Pescara - Pineto	1:2
04.08.19	Pineto - Pescara	1:2

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