Match Info

ITALY: Serie C - Group B - Round 20

Date: 20 December 2024, Friday

Location: Porta Elisa (Lucca)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, Sky Sport 255


	Lucchese		Pineto

	1	X	2
	2.4	2.9	2.75
	2.55	2.95	2.9
	2.69	2.88	2.88
	2.67	2.93	2.87	Watch
	2.6	2.8	2.8
	2.56	2.86	2.71	Watch
	2.55	2.95	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.57 ↑ (2.45)	2.9 ↓ (2.95)	2.83 ↓ (2.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lucchese
35.7%

Draw
31.8%

Pineto
32.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.1%

30.9%

32%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.8%

32.3%

30.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lucchese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Pineto has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lucchese than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pineto than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
28.6%	42.9%	28.6%

Lucchese - Pineto Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Lucchese will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Pineto will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 42.9%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Palmisani L. (G) 30. Gemignani A. 13. Fazzi N. 6. Gasbarro A. 29. Antoni E. 27. Gucher R. 8. Tumbarello G. 21. Visconti E. 70. Saporiti E. 14. Quirini E. 10. Selvini A.	22. Tonti A. (G) 98. Hadziosmanovic C. 30. Villa L. 14. De Santis S. 11. Borsoi M. 8. Germinario G. 21. Lombardi L. 5. Schirone L. 29. Chakir M. A. 9. Gambale D. 10. Bruzzaniti G.
Substitutes
12. Allegrucci L. (G) 23. Botrini T. 26. Cartano R. 31. Catanese G. 1. Coletta J. (G) 90. Costantino R. 7. Djibril M. 19. Fedato F. 5. Frison F. 38. Leone M. 71. Moschella M. 17. Mozzillo M. 11. Ndiaye B. 33. Sabbione A. 18. Sasanelli L.	6. Amadio S. 17. Baggi F. 87. Barretta M. (G) 27. Del Sole F. 15. Dutu E. 23. Fabrizi L. 18. Giovannini A. 13. Ienco S. 28. Ingrosso G. 24. Marafini A. 1. Marone F. (G) 25. Marrancone A. 31. Nebuloso G. 99. Pellegrino A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 1)
14', 0 - 1, Bruzzaniti G. ⚽,
22', 1 - 1, Antoni E. ⚽,
25', 2 - 1, Quirini E. ⚽,
27', 3 - 1, Saporiti E. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Gambale D. ↓, Fabrizi L. ↑,
46', Chakir M. A. ↓, Del Sole F. ↑,
46', Hadziosmanovic C. ↓, Baggi F. ↑,
59', Schirone L. ↓, Pellegrino A. ↑,
63', 3 - 2, Bruzzaniti G. ⚽,
66', Selvini A. 🟨,
67', Germinario G. 🟨,
69', Gasbarro A. 🟨,
73', Selvini A. ↓, Catanese G. ↑,
81', Saporiti E. ↓, Sasanelli L. ↑,
83', 3 - 3, Bruzzaniti G. ⚽,
85', Fazzi N. 🟨,
87', Germinario G. ↓, Amadio S. ↑,

Preview

A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out and 9 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals)).

Lucchese is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Pineto is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Lucchese will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Lucchese won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4:1 (average 1.3:0.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Lucchese won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AS Lucchese Libertas 1905
Italian Serie C Group B
15.12.24	Sassari Torres - Lucchese	0:0 ✺
09.12.24	Lucchese - Arezzo	0:1 ✺
30.11.24	Vis Pesaro - Lucchese	2:1 ✺
25.11.24	Lucchese - Pontedera	2:1 ✺
17.11.24	Ternana - Lucchese	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 TLLWL
- ASD Pineto Calcio
Italian Serie C Group B
13.12.24	Pineto - Rimini	1:1 ✺
08.12.24	Virtus Entella - Pineto	4:1 ✺
29.11.24	Pineto - Pianese	1:0 ✺
25.11.24	Pescara - Pineto	0:1 ✺
16.11.24	Pineto - Perugia	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.4 TLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group B
23.08.24	Pineto - Lucchese	0:0
10.02.24	Pineto - Lucchese	1:1
30.09.23	Lucchese - Pineto	3:0

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