Match Info

Serie B - Round 9

Date: 25 October 2025, Saturday

Location: Stadio dei Marmi (Carrara)

Referee: Perri M. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Italia, Destination Calcio, LAB Channel
Usa	Fox Soccer Plus, Fox
World	Onefootball


	Carrarese		Venezia

	1	X	2
	2.95	3.2	2.35	Watch
	2.98	3.1	2.35	Watch
	3.22	3.12	2.45
	2.99	3.38	2.20	Watch
	3.07	3.08	2.4	Watch
	3.05	3.35	2.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.04 ↑ (2.99)	3.21 ↓ (3.38)	2.33 ↑ (2.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Carrarese
30.7%

Draw
29.1%

Venezia
40.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.8%

27.3%

41.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.7%

26.3%

43.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Carrarese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Venezia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Carrarese than the current prediction. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Venezia than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	61.5%	38.5%

Carrarese - Venezia Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Venezia will win (votes: 5 - 38.5%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 61.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 35% – 88%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Bleve M. (G) 6. Oliana F. 4. Illanes J. 3. Imperiale M. (C) 72. Zanon S. 18. Schiavi N. 17. Zuelli E. 70. Hasa L. 11. Cicconi M. 32. Finotto M. 9. Abiuso F.	1. Stankovic F. (G) 3. Schingtienne J. 2. Korac S. 33. Sverko M. 18. Hainaut A. 71. Perez K. 8. Doumbia I. 5. Haps R. 6. Busio G. (C) 10. Yeboah J. 9. Adorante A.
Substitutes
80. Accornero F. 30. Arena A. 7. Belloni N. 13. Bouah D. 10. Bozhanaj K. 28. Di Stefano F. 99. Fiorillo V. (G) 8. Melegoni F. 21. Rubino T. 26. Ruggeri F. 5. Salamon B. 92. Torregrossa E.	19. Bjarkason B. 37. Bohinen E. 80. Casas A. 7. Fila D. 4. Franjic B. 23. Grandi M. (G) 24. Lella N. 99. Pietrelli A. 20. Sagrado R. 48. Sidibe A. 30. Svoboda M. 16. Venturi M.
Coaches
Calabro A.	Stroppa G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
13', 0 - 1, Adorante A. ⚽,
22', Haps R. 🟨,
25', Illanes J. 🟨,
31', Schiavi N. 🟨,
32', Abiuso F. 🟨,
34', Imperiale M. 🟨,
41', 1 - 1, Zuelli E. ⚽, Finotto M. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 1)
52', Busio G. 🟨,
55', Hasa L. ↓, Bozhanaj K. ↑,
62', Haps R. ↓, Bjarkason B. ↑,
62', Hainaut A. ↓, Pietrelli A. ↑,
63', 1 - 2, Doumbia I. ⚽, Yeboah J. (A),
66', Perez K. 🟨,
72', Cicconi M. ↓, Belloni N. ↑,
72', Finotto M. ↓, Torregrossa E. ↑,
74', Adorante A. 🟨,
76', Abiuso F. ↓, Di Stefano F. ↑,
76', Bozhanaj K. ↓, Rubino T. ↑,
79', Adorante A. ↓, Fila D. ↑,
79', Yeboah J. ↓, Lella N. ↑,
84', 2 - 2, Rubino T. ⚽, Di Stefano F. (A),
90', Perez K. ↓, Casas A. ↑,
90+6', 3 - 2, Di Stefano F. ⚽, Zanon S. (A),
90+7', Di Stefano F. 🟨,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 10 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Carrarese has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Venezia is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

There will not play in Carrarese: Mazzini S. (Shoulder Injury) Parlanti G. (Inactive)

There will not play in Venezia: Conde C. (Broken Leg) Duncan A. (Inactive) Plizzari A. (Inactive)

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Carrarese won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:4. (average 0.7:1.3).

Including home match between the teams, Carrarese won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Carrarese Calcio
Italian Serie B
18.10.25	Pescara - Carrarese	2:2 ✺
05.10.25	Carrarese - Juve Stabia	3:0 ✺
01.10.25	Carrarese - Modena	0:0 ✺
28.09.25	Empoli - Carrarese	2:2 ✺
21.09.25	Carrarese - Avellino	3:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 TWTTL
- Venezia FC
Italian Serie B
19.10.25	Empoli - Venezia	1:1 ✺
04.10.25	Venezia - Frosinone	3:0 ✺
30.09.25	Palermo - Venezia	0:0 ✺
27.09.25	Venezia - Spezia	2:0 ✺
Coppa Italia
24.09.25	Verona - Venezia	0:1 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.6 TWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Coppa Italia
30.09.20	Venezia - Carrarese	2:0
Italian Lega Pro C1/A
23.02.14	Venezia - Carrarese	1:2
20.10.13	Carrarese - Venezia	0:1

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