Match Info

Serie B - Round 11

Date: 1 November 2025, Saturday

Location: Stadio dei Marmi (Carrara)

Referee: Marinelli L. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Italia, LAB Channel
World	Onefootball


	Carrarese		Frosinone

	1	X	2
	2.55	3.25	2.65	Watch
	2.52	3.2	2.68	Watch
	2.23	3.58	2.81	Watch
	2.78	3.32	2.63	Watch
	2.49	3.3	2.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.51 ↑ (2.23)	3.33 ↓ (3.58)	2.71 ↓ (2.81)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Carrarese
37.3%

Draw
28.2%

Frosinone
34.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.4%

25.8%

32.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43%

24.8%

31.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Carrarese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

Frosinone has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carrarese than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Carrarese, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Frosinone than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
28.6%	28.6%	42.9%

Carrarese - Frosinone Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Carrarese will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Frosinone will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Bleve M. (G) 26. Ruggeri F. 4. Illanes J. 3. Imperiale M. (C) 30. Arena A. 17. Zuelli E. 18. Schiavi N. 72. Zanon S. 11. Cicconi M. 32. Finotto M. 9. Abiuso F.	22. Palmisani L. (G) 20. Oyono A. 6. Gelli J. 3. Calvani G. 79. Bracaglia G. (C) 92. Kone B. L. 14. Calo G. 8. Koutsoupias I. 7. Ghedjemis F. 9. Raimondo A. 17. Kvernadze G.
Substitutes
80. Accornero F. 7. Belloni N. 13. Bouah D. 10. Bozhanaj K. 28. Di Stefano F. 99. Fiorillo V. (G) 8. Melegoni F. 6. Oliana F. 77. Parlanti G. 21. Rubino T. 5. Salamon B. 44. Sekulov N.	16. Cichella M. 2. Cittadini G. 19. Corrado N. 18. Grosso F. 32. Masciangelo E. 24. Ndow A. 21. Oyono J. 75. Pisseri M. (G) 27. Raychev A. 1. Sherri A. (G) 90. Vergani E. 28. Zilli M.
Coaches
Calabro A.	Alvini M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
10', Kone B. L. 🟨,
14', Arena A. 🟨,
29', Illanes J. 🟨,
36', Cicconi M. 🟨,
39', Zuelli E. 🟨,
41', 0 - 1, Calo G. (Pen),
45+4', Oyono A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Kone B. L. ↓, Cichella M. ↑,
46', Arena A. ↓, Sekulov N. ↑,
60', Finotto M. 🟨,
63', Finotto M. ↓, Di Stefano F. ↑,
63', Ruggeri F. ↓, Bouah D. ↑,
64', Raimondo A. ↓, Zilli M. ↑,
67', Oyono A. 🟨,
70', Kvernadze G. ↓, Corrado N. ↑,
70', Gelli J. ↓, Cittadini G. ↑,
76', Illanes J. ↓, Bozhanaj K. ↑,
84', Koutsoupias I. ↓, Oyono J. ↑,
84', Zuelli E. ↓, Accornero F. ↑,
89', 0 - 2, Ghedjemis F. ⚽, Cichella M. (A),

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

There will not play in Carrarese: Calabrese N. (Inactive) Hasa L. (Inactive) Mazzini S. (Shoulder Injury) Parlanti G. (Inactive)

There will not play in Frosinone: Barcella K. (Muscle Injury) Biraschi D. (Knee Injury) Gelli F. (Injury) Gori L. (Knee Injury) Marchizza R. (Inactive) Monterisi I. (Muscle Injury) Selvini A. (Knee Injury)

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Carrarese won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 1:6. (average 0.3:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Carrarese won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:2. (average 0:1).

Last Results with these Odds

Carrarese - the odds 2.23 are the expected chance of winning is 41.38%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Carrarese Calcio
Italian Serie B
28.10.25	Cesena - Carrarese	2:1 ✺
25.10.25	Carrarese - Venezia	3:2 ✺
18.10.25	Pescara - Carrarese	2:2 ✺
05.10.25	Carrarese - Juve Stabia	3:0 ✺
01.10.25	Carrarese - Modena	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 LWTWT
- Frosinone Calcio
Italian Serie B
28.10.25	Frosinone - Virtus Entella	4:0 ✺
25.10.25	Sampdoria - Frosinone	1:1 ✺
18.10.25	Frosinone - Monza	0:1 ✺
04.10.25	Venezia - Frosinone	3:0 ✺
30.09.25	Frosinone - Cesena	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 WTLLW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
08.03.25	Carrarese - Frosinone	0:1
05.10.24	Frosinone - Carrarese	0:1
Coppa Italia
11.08.19	Frosinone - Carrarese	4:0
Italian Lega Pro C1/B
06.01.13	Carrarese - Frosinone	0:1

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