Match Info

Serie B - Round 11

Date: 1 November 2025, Saturday

Location: Stadio Partenio-Adriano Lombardi (Avellino)

Referee: Massimi L. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Italia, LAB Channel
World	Onefootball


	Avellino		Reggiana

	1	X	2
	1.86	3.5	4	Watch
	1.9	3.3	3.95	Watch
	1.96	3.42	3.53	Watch
	1.95	3.32	3.94	Watch
	1.9	3.3	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.91 ↓ (1.96)	3.37 ↓ (3.42)	3.88 ↑ (3.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Avellino
48.5%

Draw
27.6%

Reggiana
23.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47%

26.9%

26.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.6%

26.7%

26.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Avellino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

Reggiana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Avellino than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Reggiana than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	50%	16.7%

Avellino - Reggiana Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Avellino will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Reggiana will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 50%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Reggiana (votes: 2 - 50%). Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Daffara G. (G) 2. Missori F. 44. Simic L. 56. Enrici P. 78. Milani A. 39. Besaggio M. 20. Palumbo M. 6. Palmiero L. (C) 94. Insigne R. 17. Crespi V. 14. Biasci T.	1. Motta E. (G) 2. Papetti A. 96. Magnani G. 17. Libutti L. (C) 7. Marras M. 8. Charlys 26. Bertagnoli M. 3. Bozzolan A. 90. Portanova M. 10. Tavsan E. 9. Novakovich A.
Substitutes
21. Armellino M. 23. Cagnano A. 29. Cancellotti T. 63. Fontanarosa A. 8. Gyabuaa M. 1. Iannarilli A. (G) 16. Kumi J. 32. Lescano F. 5. Rigione M. 10. Russo R. 24. Sounas D. 7. Tutino G.	19. Basili D. 43. Bonetti S. 22. Enza M. (G) 11. Gondo C. 93. Lambourde M. 44. Mendicino L. 23. Rover M. 21. Saro G. (G) 5. Stulac L. 33. Tripaldelli A. 6. Vallarelli F.
Coaches
Biancolino R.	Dionigi D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
21', 0 - 1, Simic L. (Own goal),
25', Biasci T. 🟨,
25', Papetti A. 🟨,
32', 1 - 1, Insigne R. (Pen),
2nd Half (3 - 2)
46', Crespi V. ↓, Russo R. ↑,
47', Palmiero L. 🟨,
50', 2 - 1, Biasci T. ⚽, Insigne R. (A),
54', 2 - 2, Novakovich A. ⚽,
55', Palmiero L. ↓, Kumi J. ↑,
57', Milani A. 🟨,
62', 2 - 3, Novakovich A. ⚽, Bertagnoli M. (A),
64', Biasci T. ↓, Tutino G. ↑,
64', Milani A. ↓, Cagnano A. ↑,
64', 3 - 3, Simic L. ⚽, Russo R. (A),
67', Portanova M. 🟨,
69', Tavsan E. ↓, Lambourde M. ↑,
70', 4 - 3, Palumbo M. ⚽, Besaggio M. (A),
78', Novakovich A. ↓, Gondo C. ↑,
78', Bertagnoli M. ↓, Stulac L. ↑,
82', Bozzolan A. ↓, Basili D. ↑,
82', Palumbo M. ↓, Sounas D. ↑,
86', Missori F. 🟨,
90+3', Gondo C. 🟨,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 11 and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Recent form of Avellino has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Reggiana is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Avellino is considered a favorite.

There will not play in Avellino: D'Andrea L. (Knee Injury) De Cristofaro A. (Knee Injury) Favilli A. (Tendon Injury) Patierno C. (Illness) Rigione M. (Muscle Injury)

There will not play in Reggiana: Girma N. (Injury) Quaranta D. (Hamstring Injury) Reinhart T. (Injury) Rozzio P. (Calf Injury) Sampirisi M. (Knee Injury) Seculin A. (Health problems) Urso O. (Inactive)

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Avellino
Italian Serie B
28.10.25	Pescara - Avellino	1:1 ✺
25.10.25	Avellino - Spezia	0:4 ✺
18.10.25	Juve Stabia - Avellino	2:0 ✺
04.10.25	Avellino - Mantova	0:0 ✺
30.09.25	Padova - Avellino	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 TLLTT
- AC Reggiana 1919
Italian Serie B
28.10.25	Reggiana - Modena	1:0 ✺
25.10.25	Monza - Reggiana	3:1 ✺
18.10.25	Reggiana - Bari	3:1 ✺
04.10.25	Cesena - Reggiana	1:2 ✺
30.09.25	Reggiana - Spezia	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.6 WLWWT

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