Match Info

Serie B - Round 10

Date: 28 October 2025, Tuesday

Location: Mapei Stadium – Città del Tricolore (Reggio Emilia)

Referee: Rapuano A. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Italia, LAB Channel
Switzerland	Blue Sport 3, Blue Sport 3
United-kingdom	DCTV
Usa	DCTV
World	Onefootball


	Reggiana		Modena

	1	X	2
	4.33	3.3	1.81	Watch
	4.05	3.3	1.88	Watch
	3.37	3.48	2.00	Watch
	4.24	3.25	1.91	Watch
	4.2	3.35	1.91
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.04 ↑ (3.47)	3.34 ↑ (3.3)	1.9 ↓ (2.06)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Reggiana
23.1%

Draw
27.9%

Modena
49%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.8%

28.1%

45.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.4%

27.7%

45.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Reggiana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

Modena has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Reggiana than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Modena than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
12.5%	25%	62.5%

Reggiana - Modena Predictions

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Reggiana will win (votes: 2 - 12.5%). Modena will win (votes: 10 - 62.5%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Modena: 38.8% – 86.2%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .

EH +1 - draw (3.56) (votes: 0 - 0%) .

O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Modena will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Motta E. (G) 17. Libutti L. (C) 2. Papetti A. 96. Magnani G. 7. Marras M. 8. Charlys 26. Bertagnoli M. 3. Bozzolan A. 10. Tavsan E. 90. Portanova M. 11. Gondo C.	1. Chichizola L. (G) 77. Tonoli D. 28. Adorni D. 20. Nieling B. 5. Sersanti A. 2. Beyuku G. 6. Magnino L. (C) 8. Santoro S. 11. Mendes P. 23. Di Mariano F. 7. Zampano F.
Substitutes
19. Basili D. 43. Bonetti S. 22. Enza M. (G) 93. Lambourde M. 72. Maisterra R. 44. Mendicino L. 9. Novakovich A. 23. Rover M. 21. Saro G. (G) 5. Stulac L. 33. Tripaldelli A. 6. Vallarelli F.	78. Bagheria F. (G) 10. Caso G. 92. Defrel G. 25. Dellavalle A. 16. Gerli F. 9. Gliozzi E. 17. Massolin Y. 19. Nador S. 22. Pezzolato M. (G) 3. Ponsi F. 18. Pyyhtia N. 98. Zanimacchia L.
Coaches
Dionigi D.	Sottil A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
17', 1 - 0, Bozzolan A. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Beyuku G. ↓, Zanimacchia L. ↑,
46', Magnino L. ↓, Gerli F. ↑,
58', Mendes P. ↓, Gliozzi E. ↑,
59', Sersanti A. ↓, Massolin Y. ↑,
61', Nieling B. 🟨,
64', Charlys 🟨,
70', Di Mariano F. 🟨,
71', Gondo C. ↓, Novakovich A. ↑,
72', Nieling B. ↓, Defrel G. ↑,
79', Tavsan E. ↓, Vallarelli F. ↑,
85', Portanova M. ↓, Lambourde M. ↑,
85', Marras M. ↓, Bonetti S. ↑,
90+3', Bonetti S. 🟨,
90+4', Tonoli D. 🟨,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 9 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie A).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Reggiana won 2.

Reggiana has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Modena is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Modena may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Modena is considered a favorite.

There will not play in Reggiana: Girma N. (Inactive) Quaranta D. (Hamstring Injury) Reinhart T. (Inactive) Rozzio P. (Calf Injury) Sampirisi M. (Knee Injury) Seculin A. (Health problems) Urso O. (Inactive)

There will not play in Modena: Cotali M. (Inactive) Pergreffi A. (Inactive) Ponsi F. (Inactive)

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Reggiana won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:7. (average 1.3:0.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Reggiana won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:1. (average 0.6:0.2).

Last Results with these Odds

Reggiana - the odds 3.47 are the expected chance of winning is 26.77%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.

Modena - the odds 2.06 are the expected chance of winning is 45.09%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AC Reggiana 1919
Italian Serie B
25.10.25	Monza - Reggiana	3:1 ✺
18.10.25	Reggiana - Bari	3:1 ✺
04.10.25	Cesena - Reggiana	1:2 ✺
30.09.25	Reggiana - Spezia	1:1 ✺
27.09.25	Südtirol-Alto Adige - Reggiana	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.6 LWWTL
- FC Modena
Italian Serie B
24.10.25	Modena - Empoli	2:1 ✺
19.10.25	Palermo - Modena	1:1 ✺
05.10.25	Modena - Virtus Entella	2:0 ✺
01.10.25	Carrarese - Modena	0:0 ✺
28.09.25	Modena - Pescara	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 WTWTW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
01.05.25	Modena - Reggiana	2:3
14.12.24	Reggiana - Modena	0:1
01.05.24	Reggiana - Modena	1:0
02.12.23	Modena - Reggiana	2:1
Italian Serie C Group B
02.02.22	Reggiana - Modena	0:0
06.09.21	Modena - Reggiana	1:1
11.09.17	Reggiana - Modena	1:0

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