Match Info

ITALY: Serie B - Round 5

Date: 15 September 2024, Sunday

Location: Arena Garibaldi - Stadio Romeo Anconetani (Pisa)

Referee: Mariani M. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	DAZN Italia


	Carrarese		Sassuolo

	1	X	2
	3.25	3.4	2.2	Watch
	3.2	3.3	2.2
	3.2	3.3	2.2	Watch
	3.4	3.35	2.27
	3.33	3.3	2.24	Watch
	3.1	3.3	2.2
	3.33	3.3	2.24	Watch
	3.2	3.3	2.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.25 ↑ (3.19)	3.32 ↑ (3.29)	2.22 ↓ (2.24)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Carrarese
29%

Draw
28.4%

Sassuolo
42.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.5%

28.6%

41.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.7%

27.8%

43.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Carrarese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Sassuolo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Carrarese than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sassuolo than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
14.3%	21.4%	64.3%

Carrarese - Sassuolo Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Carrarese will win (votes: 2 - 14.3%). Sassuolo will win (votes: 9 - 64.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 21.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sassuolo: 39.2% – 89.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Bleve M. (G) 6. Oliana F. 21. Coppolaro M. 3. Imperiale M. 18. Schiavi N. 20. Giovane S. 17. Zuelli E. 72. Zanon S. 19. Shpendi S. 32. Finotto M. 11. Cicconi M.	31. Moldovan H. (G) 17. Paz Y. 20. Lovato M. 19. Romagna F. 3. Doig J. 40. Iannoni E. 11. Boloca D. 42. Thorstvedt K. 77. Pierini N. 9. Mulattieri S. 45. Lauriente A.
Substitutes
77. Belloni N. 13. Bouah D. 28. Capello A. 82. Capezzi L. 90. Cerri L. 9. Cherubini L. 24. Chiorra N. (G) 34. Guarino G. 66. Hermannsson H. 4. Illanes J. 8. Palmieri R. 10. Panico G.	28. Antiste J. 35. Lipani L. 2. Missori F. 24. Moro L. 80. Muharemovic T. 14. Obiang P. 26. Odenthal C. 15. Pieragnolo E. 91. Russo F. 12. Satalino G. (G) 23. Toljan J. 7. Volpato C.
Coaches
Calabro A.	Grosso F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 2)
58', Zuelli E. ↓, Capezzi L. ↑,
58', Zanon S. ↓, Bouah D. ↑,
62', Lauriente A. ↓, Volpato C. ↑,
65', Oliana F. ↓, Hermannsson H. ↑,
73', Boloca D. ↓, Obiang P. ↑,
74', Paz Y. ↓, Toljan J. ↑,
75', Obiang P. 🟨,
78', 0 - 1, Mulattieri S. ⚽, Volpato C. (A),
79', Giovane S. ↓, Panico G. ↑,
79', Cicconi M. ↓, Belloni N. ↑,
81', Volpato C. 🟨,
85', Pierini N. ↓, Odenthal C. ↑,
86', Iannoni E. ↓, Muharemovic T. ↑,
90+4', 0 - 2, Thorstvedt K. ⚽, Mulattieri S. (A),

Preview

Carrarese is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Sassuolo is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Sassuolo could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Carrarese have a series of guest games.

Sassuolo will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Carrarese Calcio
Italian Serie B
01.09.24	Catanzaro - Carrarese	3:1 ✺
27.08.24	Carrarese - Südtirol-Alto Adige	2:0 ✺
24.08.24	Cremonese - Carrarese	1:0 ✺
18.08.24	Cesena - Carrarese	2:1 ✺
Coppa Italia
12.08.24	Cagliari - Carrarese	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 LWLLL
- US Sassuolo
Italian Serie B
31.08.24	Sassuolo - Cremonese	1:4 ✺
27.08.24	Bari - Sassuolo	1:1 ✺
24.08.24	Sassuolo - Cesena	2:1 ✺
18.08.24	Catanzaro - Sassuolo	1:1 ✺
Coppa Italia
09.08.24	Sassuolo - Cittadella	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 LTWTW

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