Match Info

Serie B - Round 23

Date: 7 February 2026, Saturday

Location: Stadio dei Marmi (Carrara)

Referee: Calzavara A. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	DAZN Italia, LAB Channel
World	Onefootball


	Carrarese		Südtirol-Alto Adige

	1	X	2
	2.4	2.82	3.3	Watch
	2.4	2.88	3.1	Watch
	2.52	2.96	3.36
	2.38	3.06	3.17	Watch
	2.4	3	2.9
	2.46	2.89	3.32	Watch
	2.45	2.85	3.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.43 ↓ (2.56)	2.92 ↑ (2.88)	3.2 ↑ (3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Carrarese
38.6%

Draw
32.1%

Südtirol-Alto Adige
29.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.5%

32.4%

31.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.7%

32.6%

30.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Carrarese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

Südtirol-Alto Adige has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Carrarese than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Südtirol-Alto Adige than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
36.4%	54.5%	9.1%

Carrarese - Südtirol Alto Adige Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Carrarese will win (votes: 4 - 36.4%). Südtirol will win (votes: 1 - 9.1%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 54.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 25.1% – 83.9%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.25 - Carrarese (1.47) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Carrarese (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Bleve M. (G) 37. Calabrese N. 6. Oliana F. 3. Imperiale M. (C) 72. Zanon S. 17. Zuelli E. 18. Schiavi N. 70. Hasa L. 7. Belloni N. 9. Abiuso F. 21. Rubino T.	31. Adamonis M. (G) 94. El Kaouakibi H. 28. Kofler R. 34. Veseli F. 79. Molina S. 21. Tait F. (C) 26. Frigerio M. R. 17. Casiraghi D. 7. Zedadka K. 33. Merkaj S. 9. Pecorino E.
Substitutes
80. Accornero F. 28. Di Stefano F. 32. Finotto M. 99. Fiorillo V. (G) 78. Guercio T. 25. Lordkipanidze D. 8. Melegoni F. 77. Parlanti G. 73. Rouhi J. 26. Ruggeri F. 44. Sekulov N. 92. Torregrossa E.	3. Bordon F. 1. Borra D. (G) 46. Brik D. 22. Cragno A. (G) 89. Crnigoj D. 24. Davi S. 4. Mancini D. 5. Masiello A. 90. Odogwu R. 13. Sabatini C. 11. Tonin R. 99. Verdi S.
Coaches
Calabro A.	Castori F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
49', Davi S. 🟨,
63', Pecorino E. ↓, Odogwu R. ↑,
63', Frigerio M. R. ↓, Crnigoj D. ↑,
67', Merkaj S. 🟨,
67', Merkaj S. ↓, Verdi S. ↑,
70', Rubino T. ↓, Di Stefano F. ↑,
79', Abiuso F. 🟨,
81', Hasa L. ↓, Finotto M. ↑,
81', Belloni N. ↓, Rouhi J. ↑,
89', Casiraghi D. ↓, Bordon F. ↑,
89', Tait F. ↓, Brik D. ↑,
90', Zuelli E. ↓, Melegoni F. ↑,
90', Abiuso F. ↓, Torregrossa E. ↑,
90+3', Oliana F. 🟨,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 9 and 10).

Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.

Carrarese may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

There will not play in Carrarese: Accornero F. (Inactive) Bouah D. (Inactive) Illanes J. (Yellow Cards) Salamon B. (Inactive)

There will not play in Südtirol: Cragno A. (Inactive) Martini J. (Injury) Masiello A. (Inactive) Pietrangeli N. (Inactive) Tronchin S. (Yellow Cards)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Carrarese won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:5. (average 1.4:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Carrarese won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 2:0.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Sudtirol	6	3	3	0	9:3	6	12
20	Carrarese	5	0	1	4	2:6	-4	1

Last Results with these Odds

Carrarese - the odds 2.56 are the expected chance of winning is 36.47%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Carrarese Calcio
Italian Serie B
31.01.26	Venezia - Carrarese	2:1 ✺
23.01.26	Carrarese - Empoli	3:0 ✺
17.01.26	Avellino - Carrarese	1:2 ✺
10.01.26	Carrarese - Bari	1:0 ✺
27.12.25	Carrarese - Mantova	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 LWWWT
- Südtirol-Alto Adige
Italian Serie B
31.01.26	Südtirol-Alto Adige - Catanzaro	2:1 ✺
25.01.26	Südtirol-Alto Adige - Padova	3:0 ✺
17.01.26	Empoli - Südtirol-Alto Adige	0:1 ✺
10.01.26	Südtirol-Alto Adige - Spezia	2:1 ✺
27.12.25	Juve Stabia - Südtirol-Alto Adige	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.1 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
08.11.25	Südtirol-Alto Adige - Carrarese	1:1
16.03.25	Südtirol-Alto Adige - Carrarese	2:2
27.08.24	Carrarese - Südtirol-Alto Adige	2:0
Italian Lega Pro C1/A
23.03.14	Südtirol-Alto Adige - Carrarese	1:0
24.11.13	Carrarese - Südtirol-Alto Adige	2:1

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