Match Info

ITALY: Serie B - Round 3

Date: 27 August 2024, Tuesday

Location: Stadio San Nicola (Bari)

Referee: La Penna F. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	DAZN Italia


	Bari		Sassuolo

	1	X	2
	2.63	3.25	2.63	Watch
	2.7	3.2	2.6	Watch
	2.82	3.25	2.76
	2.78	3.16	2.67	Watch
	2.9	3.3	2.3
	2.72	3.38	2.56	Watch
	2.7	3.2	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.75 ↓ (2.99)	3.25 ↑ (3.21)	2.59 ↑ (2.39)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bari
34.4%

Draw
29.1%

Sassuolo
36.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.4%

29.3%

39.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.5%

29.4%

39.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bari has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

Sassuolo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bari than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sassuolo than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
19%	19%	61.9%

Bari - Sassuolo Predictions

Users Predictions: 21 users predict this event. Bari will win (votes: 4 - 19%). Sassuolo will win (votes: 13 - 61.9%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 19%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sassuolo: 41.1% – 82.7%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Radunovic B. (G) 25. Pucino R. 23. Vicari F. 4. Maita M. 7. Oliveri A. 3. Mantovani V. 8. Benali A. 93. Dorval M. 15. Lasagna K. 20. Sibilli G. 9. Novakovich A.	12. Satalino G. (G) 23. Toljan J. 26. Odenthal C. 20. Lovato M. 3. Doig J. 35. Lipani L. 11. Boloca D. 29. Caligara F. 42. Thorstvedt K. 9. Mulattieri S. 91. Russo F.
Substitutes
10. Bellomo N. 80. Faggi F. 27. Favasuli C. 26. Lulic K. 17. Maiello R. 18. Manzari G. 5. Matino E. 14. Morachioli G. 55. Obaretin N. 22. Pissardo M. (G) 31. Ricci G. 11. Sgarbi L.	28. Antiste J. 72. Bajrami N. 25. D'Andrea L. 40. Iannoni E. 55. Kumi J. 44. Miranda K. 2. Missori F. 31. Moldovan H. (G) 24. Moro L. 14. Obiang P. 15. Pieragnolo E. 19. Romagna F.
Coaches
Longo M.	Grosso F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
17', Sibilli G. ↓, Sgarbi L. ↑,
19', 0 - 1, Thorstvedt K. ⚽,
35', Lovato M. 🟥,
38', Russo F. ↓, Romagna F. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Dorval M. ↓, Maiello R. ↑,
46', Lipani L. ↓, Antiste J. ↑,
57', Caligara F. ↓, Pieragnolo E. ↑,
64', Benali A. ↓, Manzari G. ↑,
64', Maita M. ↓, Bellomo N. ↑,
76', Mulattieri S. ↓, Moro L. ↑,
76', Thorstvedt K. ↓, Obiang P. ↑,
80', Oliveri A. ↓, Morachioli G. ↑,
85', Antiste J. 🟨,
90+3', 1 - 1, Lasagna K. ⚽, Sgarbi L. (A),
90+6', Novakovich A. 🟨,

Preview

Bari is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Sassuolo is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Sassuolo could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Bari won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 6-9.

Including matches at home between the teams Bari won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AS Bari
Italian Serie B
23.08.24	Modena - Bari	2:1 ✺
17.08.24	Bari - Juve Stabia	1:3 ✺
Coppa Italia
10.08.24	Cremonese - Bari	2:1 penalties ✺
Club Friendly
31.07.24	Bari - Salernitana	1:1 ✺
24.07.24	Frosinone - Bari	3:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 LLLTW
- US Sassuolo
Italian Serie B
24.08.24	Sassuolo - Cesena	2:1 ✺
18.08.24	Catanzaro - Sassuolo	1:1 ✺
Coppa Italia
09.08.24	Sassuolo - Cittadella	2:1 ✺
Club Friendly
03.08.24	Monza - Sassuolo	2:2 ✺
31.07.24	Sassuolo - Padova	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 WTWTW

Latest Head to Head

Coppa Italia
29.11.17	Sassuolo - Bari	2:1
Italian Serie B
20.04.13	Sassuolo - Bari	2:1
01.12.12	Bari - Sassuolo	3:3
12.02.12	Bari - Sassuolo	1:2

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