Match Info

NIFL Premiership - Round 6

Date: 12 September 2026, Saturday

Location: Loughview Leisure Arena (Carrickfergus)

Referee: Hassan D. (Nir)

Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	Nifl TV


	Carrick Rangers		Cliftonville

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.50	3.10
	2.05	3.45	3.05
	2.13	3.83	3.12
	2.08	3.65	3.02	Watch
	2.08	3.75	3.05
	2.05	3.54	3.05
	2.05	3.5	3.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.07 ↑ (2.03)	3.6 ↓ (3.71)	3.06 ↓ (3.07)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Carrick Rangers
44.4%

Draw
25.5%

Cliftonville
30%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.3%

24.8%

29.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.8%

24.5%

29.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Carrick Rangers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Cliftonville has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carrick Rangers than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cliftonville than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

Carrick Rangers - Cliftonville Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Gartside N. (G) 15. Buchanan-Rolleston B. 20. Cherry K. 19. Crowe J. 5. Forsythe J. 9. Gibson D. 30. Hawthorne C. 11. Maciulaitis N. 3. Nelson K. 7. O'Conchubhair D. 14. Steele A.	31. Morrison P. (G) 25. Bannon A. 8. Hale R. 10. Healy B. 15. McClelland K. 16. McMaster D. 27. McStravick L. 4. O’Connor D. 20. Quinn B. 3. Samuels O. 41. Sheridan J.
Substitutes
25. Agnew D. (G) 36. Carlisle M. 34. Connelly L. 32. Crown J. 23. Hastings J. 10. Lecky A. 17. Moore J.	7. Campbell R. 14. Conlan L. 22. Cremen Cowan J. (G) 19. Gormley J. 36. Hawthorne K. 12. Leppard S. 17. Thompson J.
Coaches
Baxter S.	Magilton J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
6', 🟨,
11', 1 - 0, Hawthorne C. ⚽,
15', 1 - 1, McClelland K. ⚽,
36', 1 - 2, Quinn B. ⚽,
45+2', 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
62', O'Conchubhair D. ↓, Lecky A. ↑,
70', Steele A. 🟨,
70', 🟨,
76', Maciulaitis N. ↓, Hastings J. ↑,
85', Hawthorne C. ↓, Moore J. ↑,
90', Cherry K. 🟨,
90+2', 1 - 3, McMaster D. ⚽,

Preview

The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ NIFL Premiership (Championship Group: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ NIFL Premiership (Championship Group: ))

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Carrick Rangers won 1.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Carrick Rangers is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Carrick Rangers won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 17 matches, and goals 16:48. (average 0.8:2.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Carrick Rangers won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 8 matches, and goals 9:18. (average 0.9:1.8).

Outrights of Northern Irish Premiership for now

Carrick Rangers: 0.84% Cliftonville: 0.84%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Carrick Rangers	10	4	1	5	15:15	0	13
9	Cliftonville	10	4	0	6	12:12	0	12

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Carrick Rangers
Northern Irish Premiership
05.09.26	Linfield - Carrick Rangers	1:0 ✺
29.08.26	Bangor - Carrick Rangers	0:4 ✺
22.08.26	Carrick Rangers - Coleraine	0:2 ✺
15.08.26	Limavady United - Carrick Rangers	1:2 ✺
08.08.26	Carrick Rangers - Portadown	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 LWLWW
- Cliftonville FC
Northern Irish Premiership
05.09.26	Cliftonville - Portadown	3:1 ✺
29.08.26	Cliftonville - Dungannon Swifts	0:2 ✺
21.08.26	Linfield - Cliftonville	1:0 ✺
15.08.26	Bangor - Cliftonville	0:3 ✺
07.08.26	Cliftonville - Crusaders	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Northern Irish Premiership
17.01.26	Cliftonville - Carrick Rangers	1:4
25.10.25	Carrick Rangers - Cliftonville	0:1
06.09.25	Carrick Rangers - Cliftonville	1:2
01.04.25	Carrick Rangers - Cliftonville	1:3
22.03.25	Cliftonville - Carrick Rangers	3:0
12.02.25	Cliftonville - Carrick Rangers	3:0
05.10.24	Carrick Rangers - Cliftonville	2:0

Upcoming Matches