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Current Win Probability
Dungannon Swifts 43%
Draw 25.9%
Carrick Rangers 31.1%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
40.3%
25.8%
33.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
42.5%
24.5%
32.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Dungannon Swifts has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)
Carrick Rangers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dungannon Swifts than the current prediction. (-0.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carrick Rangers than the current prediction. (+1%)
Dungannon Swifts - Carrick Rangers Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
12. Henderson A. (G) 13. Alves L. 34. Bigirimana G. (C) 10. Dillon K. 17. Glackin J. 14. Glenny A. 16. Gordon S. 67. McAllister S. 5. McKeown B. 40. Ogedi-Uzokwe J. 23. Wallace D.
1. Gartside N. (G) 15. Buchanan-Rolleston B. 6. Callacher J. 19. Crowe J. (C) 5. Forsythe J. 9. Gibson D. 22. Heatley P. 10. Lecky A. 3. Nelson K. 24. Snoddy M. 14. Steele A.
Substitutes
21. Doyle P. 6. Kelly T. 41. McCloskey C. (G) 2. McGinty C. 9. Mitchell A. 3. Scott J. 7. Smith C.
25. Agnew D. (G) 8. Clucas S. 23. Hastings J. 30. Hawthorne C. 11. Maciulaitis N. 17. Moore J. 7. O'Conchubhair D.
Coaches
McAree R.
Baxter S.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 3)
9', 0 - 1, Heatley P. ⚽,
12', 1 - 1, Dillon K. ⚽,
20', 1 - 2, Crowe J. ⚽,
27', Callacher J. 🟨,
34', Bigirimana G. 🟨,
45+1', 1 - 3, Wallace D. (Own goal),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Bigirimana G. ↓, Kelly T. ↑,
46', Gordon S. ↓, McGinty C. ↑,
49', Snoddy M. 🟨,
59', Crowe J. 🟨,
61', McKeown B. ↓, Doyle P. ↑,
62', 1 - 4, Gibson D. ⚽,
68', Glackin J. ↓, Mitchell A. ↑,
68', Ogedi-Uzokwe J. ↓, Smith C. ↑,
73', Crowe J. ↓, Clucas S. ↑,
73', Forsythe J. ↓, O'Conchubhair D. ↑,
79', Gartside N. 🟨,
79', 2 - 4, McAllister S. (Penalty Awarded),
80', Lecky A. ↓, Maciulaitis N. ↑,
Preview
A tightly contested fixture between two evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 7th in the NIFL Premiership (Relegation Group: ) and 6th in the Promotion - NIFL Premiership (Championship Group: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Dungannon won 2.
Both teams are currently going through a difficult patch of form.
Carrick Rangers may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Dungannon has recorded 10 wins, 1 draw, and 9 losses, with a goal aggregate of 36:33 (averaging 1.8:1.7 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Dungannon against this opponent, the record stands at 7 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, with 24:13 goals (averaging 2.4:1.3 per game).
United Kingdom
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Henderson A. (G) 
Alves L. 
Bigirimana G. (C) 
Dillon K. 
Ogedi-Uzokwe J. 
Maciulaitis N. 
Moore J. 
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