The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Carrick Rangers 20.2%
Draw 23.7%
Larne 56.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
27.9%
24.5%
47.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
27.2%
23.9%
48.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Carrick Rangers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Carrick Rangers's form might have worsened.
Larne has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.5%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Larne's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carrick Rangers than the current prediction. (+7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Carrick Rangers, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Larne than the current prediction. (-7.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Larne, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
1. Gartside N. (G) 15. Buchanan-Rolleston B. 6. Callacher J. 19. Crowe J. (C) 5. Forsythe J. 9. Gibson D. 10. Lecky A. 3. Nelson K. 7. O'Conchubhair D. 2. Place M. 14. Steele A.
1. Ferguson R. (G) 26. Bent D. 23. Cosgrove T. (C) 15. Doherty R. 4. Donnelly A. 6. Gallagher C. 30. Lusty M. 21. Millar L. 9. O'Neill P. 3. Ridley M. 25. Sloan D.
Substitutes
25. Agnew D. (G) 8. Clucas S. 34. Connelly L. 30. Hawthorne C. 11. Maciulaitis N. 17. Moore J. 24. Snoddy M.
16. Carney J. (G) 45. Gibson M. 14. Magee B. 22. McEneff J. 8. Randall M. 47. Simpson J. 2. Wallace L.
Coaches
Baxter S.
Haveron G.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 3)
15', 0 - 1, O'Neill P. ⚽,
20', 0 - 2, O'Neill P. ⚽,
38', 0 - 3, Bent D. (Penalty Awarded),
45+1', 1 - 3, Gibson D. ⚽,
45+3', 2 - 3, Gibson D. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
47', 🟨,
53', Crowe J. 🟨,
62', Lusty M. ↓, McEneff J. ↑,
69', 2 - 4, O'Neill P. ⚽,
75', 🟨,
81', Crowe J. 🟥,
81', 2 - 5, Bent D. (Penalty Awarded),
Preview
An intriguing matchup between a mid-ranked team and a top contender (ranked 7th in the NIFL Premiership (Relegation Group: ) and 3rd in the Promotion ~ NIFL Premiership (Championship Group: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Carrick Rangers won 2.
Carrick Rangers is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Larne shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
Recently, Larne has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.
Larne carries the favorite tag into this contest.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Carrick Rangers has recorded 2 wins, 4 draws, and 14 losses, with a goal aggregate of 15:39 (averaging 0.8:2 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Carrick Rangers against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 1 draw, and 8 losses, with 10:19 goals (averaging 1:1.9 per game).
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Gartside N. (G) 
O'Conchubhair D. 
Ferguson R. (G) 
Bent D. 
Ridley M. 
Maciulaitis N. 
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