Match Info

Isthmian League Premier Division - Round 41

Date: 18 April 2026, Saturday


	Aveley		Carshalton Athletic

	1	X	2
	1.6	4.05	4.15
	1.83	4.18	3.25
	1.83	4.29	3.26	Watch
	1.6	3.9	4
	1.56	4.3	4.39
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.68 ↑ (1.63)	4.14 ↓ (4.24)	3.81 ↓ (4.21)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aveley
54.1%

Draw
22%

Carshalton Athletic
23.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.4%

21.7%

21.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.7%

20.5%

20.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aveley has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

Carshalton Athletic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aveley than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Aveley, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Carshalton Athletic than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

Aveley - Carshalton Athletic Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Isthmian League Premier Division (Play Offs: ) and 18).

Aveley is Qualified for Isthmian League Premier Division (Play Offs )

Aveley is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Carshalton's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Aveley is seen as the favorite.

We predict that Aveley will win today's game, with odds of 1.61.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Aveley won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:5. (average 1.2:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Aveley won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0. (average 1:0).

Outrights of English Isthmian League Premier Division for now

Carshalton: 4.11% Aveley: 2.49%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Carshalton	11	7	0	4	18:19	-1	21
16	Aveley	10	3	1	6	17:18	-1	10

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aveley
English Isthmian League Premier Division
11.04.26	St Albans City - Aveley	0:1 ✺
06.04.26	Aveley - Hashtag United	3:1 ✺
04.04.26	Chatham Town - Aveley	0:1 ✺
28.03.26	Aveley - Cray Wanderers	2:3 ✺
21.03.26	Aveley - Cheshunt	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 WWWLW
- Carshalton Athletic
English Isthmian League Premier Division
11.04.26	Carshalton Athletic - Brentwood Town	2:4 ✺
06.04.26	Dulwich Hamlet - Carshalton Athletic	2:1 ✺
04.04.26	Carshalton Athletic - Dartford	2:2 ✺
28.03.26	Folkestone Invicta - Carshalton Athletic	3:3 ✺
21.03.26	Carshalton Athletic - Wingate & Finchley	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 LLTTW

Latest Head to Head

English Isthmian League Premier Division
15.11.25	Carshalton Athletic - Aveley	1:1
04.03.23	Aveley - Carshalton Athletic	0:0
10.10.22	Carshalton Athletic - Aveley	1:0
English FA Trophy
16.12.19	Aveley - Carshalton Athletic	2:0
14.12.19	Carshalton Athletic - Aveley	3:3

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