The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Aveley 51.7%
Draw 23.5%
Carshalton Athletic 24.8%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
45.1%
23.9%
31%
Our Initial ML Estimation
43.2%
22.9%
33.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Aveley has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Aveley's performance.
Carshalton Athletic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Carshalton Athletic might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aveley than the current prediction. (-8.5%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Aveley that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carshalton Athletic than the current prediction. (+9.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Carshalton Athletic could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Aveley - Carshalton Athletic Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
9', 1 - 0, Palmer G. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
53', 2 - 0, Critchley H. ⚽,
90+4', 2 - 1, Toure ⚽,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Aveley won 1.
Recent results have been tough for Aveley (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Carshalton has suffered a run of successive defeats (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
Aveley could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
Aveley is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.
In the last 6 head-to-head meetings, Aveley has recorded 1 win, 4 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 6:5 (averaging 1:0.8 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Aveley against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 2 draws, and 0 losses, with 2:0 goals (averaging 0.7:0 per game).
Last Results with these Odds
Carshalton Athletic - the odds 3.01 are the expected chance of winning is 31%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.
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