Match Info

ENGLAND: ISTHMIAN LEAGUE PREMIER DIVISION - ROUND 35

Date: 16 March 2024, Saturday


	Carshalton Athletic		Margate

	1	X	2
	1.4	4.33	6
	1.33	5	7
	1.43	4.93	5.86
	1.43	4.94	5.86
	1.38	4.5	6.66
	1.33	5	7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.38 ↑ (1.32)	4.78 ↓ (5)	6.4 ↓ (7.28)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Carshalton Athletic
66.4%

Draw
19.2%

Margate
14.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

69.2%

18.3%

12.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

74.1%

17.1%

11.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Carshalton Athletic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

Margate has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carshalton Athletic than the current prediction. (+7.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Carshalton Athletic, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Margate than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

Carshalton Athletic - Margate Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 7 and 19 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Carshalton won 3.

Carshalton is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Margate is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Carshalton is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 13 head-to-head matches Carshalton won 5 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 13-13.

Including matches at home between the teams Carshalton won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 7-8.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Carshalton Athletic
English Isthmian League Premier Division
09.03.24	Horsham - Carshalton Athletic	1:2 ✺
02.03.24	Carshalton Athletic - Chatham Town	2:0 ✺
24.02.24	Canvey Island - Carshalton Athletic	0:0 ✺
17.02.24	Carshalton Athletic - Enfield Town	1:1 ✺
10.02.24	Hashtag United - Carshalton Athletic	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.4 WWTTT
- Margate
English Isthmian League Premier Division
09.03.24	Hashtag United - Margate	4:2 ✺
02.03.24	Margate - Horsham	1:3 ✺
24.02.24	Haringey Borough - Margate	1:0 ✺
17.02.24	Margate - Canvey Island	3:2 ✺
10.02.24	Chatham Town - Margate	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

English Isthmian League Premier Division
09.12.23	Margate - Carshalton Athletic	0:1
18.02.23	Margate - Carshalton Athletic	0:1
31.10.22	Carshalton Athletic - Margate	1:0
09.04.22	Carshalton Athletic - Margate	0:0
21.08.21	Margate - Carshalton Athletic	0:0
26.09.20	Margate - Carshalton Athletic	2:2
22.02.20	Margate - Carshalton Athletic	1:1

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