Match Info

ENGLAND: Isthmian League Premier Division - Round 25

Date: 4 January 2025, Saturday

Location: The Fusion Aviation Community Stadium (Horsham)


	Horsham		Carshalton Athletic

	1	X	2
	1.82	3.6	3.4
	1.84	3.65	3.5
	1.82	3.82	3.62
	1.83	3.6	3.4
	1.86	3.48	3.65
	1.84	3.65	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.84 ↓ (2.01)	3.63 ↑ (3.53)	3.51 ↑ (3.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Horsham
49.3%

Draw
24.9%

Carshalton Athletic
25.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.3%

25.8%

28.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.1%

25.9%

29%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Horsham has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

Carshalton Athletic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Horsham than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carshalton Athletic than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

Horsham - Carshalton Athletic Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
39', 1 - 0, Meekums R. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
48', 2 - 0, Hester-Cook C. ⚽,
90+2', 3 - 0, Hammond J. (Pen),

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 6 and 7).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Horsham won 1.

Horsham is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Carshalton is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Horsham will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Horsham won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 11:18 (average 1.2:2).

Including matches at home between the teams Horsham won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 6:9 (average 1.5:2.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Horsham FC
English Isthmian League Premier Division
01.01.25	Dover Athletic - Horsham	1:2 ✺
28.12.24	Potters Bar Town - Horsham	0:6 ✺
26.12.24	Horsham - Bognor Regis Town	2:1 ✺
21.12.24	Canvey Island - Horsham	0:1 ✺
17.12.24	Horsham - Dartford	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 WWWWL
- Carshalton Athletic
English Isthmian League Premier Division
01.01.25	Carshalton Athletic - Cray Valley Paper Mills	1:2 ✺
28.12.24	Carshalton Athletic - Chichester City	1:2 ✺
26.12.24	Dulwich Hamlet - Carshalton Athletic	1:0 ✺
21.12.24	Carshalton Athletic - Chatham Town	2:0 ✺
14.12.24	Bowers & Pitsea - Carshalton Athletic	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 LLLWW

Latest Head to Head

English Isthmian League Premier Division
09.03.24	Horsham - Carshalton Athletic	1:2
21.10.23	Carshalton Athletic - Horsham	1:2
07.01.23	Carshalton Athletic - Horsham	1:1
20.08.22	Horsham - Carshalton Athletic	1:3
15.02.22	Horsham - Carshalton Athletic	2:2
22.11.21	Carshalton Athletic - Horsham	0:1
12.10.20	Carshalton Athletic - Horsham	3:1

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