The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Cartagena 68.3%
Draw 20.6%
Atlético Sanluqueño 11.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
57.2%
23.9%
18.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
58.4%
23.4%
18.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cartagena has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.1%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Cartagena's performance.
Atlético Sanluqueño has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Atlético Sanluqueño might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cartagena than the current prediction. (-9.9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Cartagena that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Sanluqueño than the current prediction. (+7.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Atlético Sanluqueño could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
100%
0%
0%
Cartagena - Atlético Sanluqueño Predictions
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Cartagena will win (votes: 4 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
13. Garcia L. (G) 4. Serrano R. 23. Hernandez A. 22. Nacho (C) 11. Redondo L. 10. Larrea P. 15. Jules J. 14. Alcaniz E. 7. Rahmani Y. 17. Sanchez K. 19. Chiki
13. Dominguez R. (G) 2. Sola Villalba R. 14. Pavon A. 12. Ukwuije N. 3. Cabrera J. 5. Niza S. 22. Lopez R. 6. Mulenga T. 20. Lobede U. 17. Rodri 19. Juarez A.
Substitutes
31. Abellan I. 37. Chatiliez W. 6. Fidalgo A. 44. Gimenez F. 12. Gonzalez M. 16. Martin A. 1. Martinez I. (G) 9. Ortuno A. 2. Pepe Garcia
24. Ajouaou V. 4. Almagro S. 30. Barea P. 15. Denia M. 18. Diallo B. 7. Kikin 1. Rocafort R. (G) 10. Ronald 16. Viedma A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
28', 🟨,
36', Lopez R. ↓, Ronald ↑,
36', Mulenga T. ↓, Viedma A. ↑,
38', Larrea P. 🟨,
45+3', Sola Villalba R. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
65', Nacho 🟨,
68', Larrea P. ↓, Fidalgo A. ↑,
68', Redondo L. ↓, Chatiliez W. ↑,
83', Lobede U. ↓, Almagro S. ↑,
83', Juarez A. ↓, Denia M. ↑,
83', Sanchez K. ↓, Ortuno A. ↑,
86', Ronald 🟨,
90', 1 - 0, Chiki ⚽,
90+2', Cabrera J. ↓, Ajouaou V. ↑,
Preview
This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 11 and 19 in the zone Relegation).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cartagena won 3.
Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
In this match, Cartagena is considered a favorite.
In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Cartagena won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 15:8. (average 1.5:0.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Cartagena won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:1. (average 2.3:0.3).
Spain
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Garcia L. (G) 
Serrano R. 
Jules J. 
Rahmani Y. 
Mulenga T. 
Juarez A. 
Chatiliez W. 
Diallo B. 
Ronald 
