Match Info

Primera RFEF - Group 2 - Round 29

Date: 21 March 2026, Saturday

Location: Centro Deportivo Wanda Alcalá de Henares (Madrid)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub, LaLiga+, Movistar Plus+


	Atlético Madrid B		Cartagena

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.2	3.5
	1.87	3	3.9
	2	3.2	3.6
	2.03	3.42	3.49
	1.87	3.38	4.16	Watch
	1.95	3.1	3.4
	2.03	3.33	3.64
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.96 ↑ (1.92)	3.23 ↓ (3.25)	3.67 ↓ (4.01)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlético Madrid B
46.8%

Draw
28.3%

Cartagena
24.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.3%

28.5%

23.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.9%

28.3%

23.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlético Madrid B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

Cartagena has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Madrid B than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cartagena than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

Atlético Madrid B - Cartagena Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. de Luis M. (G) 4. Bonar J. 15. Puric A. 5. Martinez D. 22. Perovic M. 7. Luque I. 14. Morcillo J. 10. Belaid R. 23. Ortiz A. 18. Bellotti M. 9. Llorente R.	13. Garcia L. (G) 2. Jurado M. 4. Serrano R. 5. Baz I. 22. Martinez N. 21. Ramirez B. 8. De Blasis P. 11. Redondo L. 15. Jules J. 7. Rahmani Y. 19. Chiki
Substitutes
20. Barboza M. 8. Castillo J. 19. Corral A. 31. Coulibaly I. (G) 37. Grant C. 11. Koke 30. Llorente M. 17. Monserrate J. 24. Najera R. 21. Sits D. 12. Spina G.	14. Alcaniz E. 37. Chatiliez W. 12. Ebro Cortina E. 6. Fidalgo A. 23. Hernandez A. 10. Larrea P. 16. Martin A. 1. Martinez I. (G) 9. Ortuno A. 17. Sanchez K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
19', Puric A. 🟨,
39', Baz I. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Perovic M. ↓, Barboza M. ↑,
46', Ramirez B. ↓, Sanchez K. ↑,
57', Bellotti M. 🟨,
62', Luque I. 🟨,
65', De Blasis P. 🟨,
73', Bellotti M. ↓, Castillo J. ↑,
73', Belaid R. ↓, Monserrate J. ↑,
78', Jurado M. 🟨,
80', Redondo L. ↓, Ortuno A. ↑,
80', De Blasis P. ↓, Alcaniz E. ↑,
82', Luque I. ↓, Llorente M. ↑,
85', Chiki ↓, Larrea P. ↑,
90+1', 1 - 0, Llorente M. ⚽,
90+2', Jules J. ↓, Martin A. ↑,
90+5', Ortiz A. ↓, Koke ↑,
90+6', 🟨,
90+7', Jurado M. 🟥,
90+9', 2 - 0, Llorente R. (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Group 1 and 9).

Atlético Madrid B has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Cartagena is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Atlético Madrid B is seen as the favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Atlético Madrid B won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	FC Cartagena SAD	6	3	2	1	9:4	5	11
11	Atl. Madrid B	6	2	2	2	11:8	3	8

Last Results with these Odds

Cartagena - the odds 4.01 are the expected chance of winning is 23.14%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético Madrid B
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
15.03.26	Tarazona - Atlético Madrid B	1:4 ✺
08.03.26	Atlético Madrid B - Hércules	0:0 ✺
28.02.26	Sevilla B - Atlético Madrid B	1:1 ✺
21.02.26	Atlético Madrid B - Gimnástic de Tarragona	1:2 ✺
13.02.26	Atlético Sanluqueño - Atlético Madrid B	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WTTLW
- FC Cartagena
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
14.03.26	Cartagena - Teruel	0:0 ✺
08.03.26	Tarazona - Cartagena	0:0 ✺
01.03.26	Cartagena - Sabadell	0:0 ✺
25.02.26	Cartagena - Sevilla B	1:0 ✺
22.02.26	Real Murcia - Cartagena	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13 TTTWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
05.09.25	Cartagena - Atlético Madrid B	3:2

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