Match Info

SPAIN: LaLiga2 - Round 26

Date: 9 February 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio Nuevo Mirandilla (Cadiz)

Referee: Muniz C. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Mexico	Sky Sport
North-central-america	Sky Sports Norte
South-america	DGO Latin America
Spain	DAZN Espana, GolStadium, LaLiga Hypermotion 2, LaLiga Hypermotion


	Cádiz		Cartagena

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.44	3.8	7.25
				Watch
	1.47	4.09	8.75
				Watch
				Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.46 ↑ (1.42)	3.95 ↓ (4.34)	8 ↑ (7.91)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cádiz
64.5%

Draw
23.8%

Cartagena
11.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.4%

21.7%

11.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.3%

20.8%

11.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cádiz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

Cartagena has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cádiz than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cartagena than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Cádiz - Cartagena Predictions

Users Predictions: Cádiz will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Gil D. (G) 20. Carcelen I. 3. Fali 5. Chust V. 37. Climent M. 7. Sobrino R. 27. Diakite M. 8. Fernandez A. 19. De la Rosa J. 22. Ontiveros J. 16. Ramos C.	1. Cunat P. (G) 2. Moreno J. 4. Alcala P. 22. Olivas K. 12. Vukcevic A. 18. Musto D. 17. Andy 11. Clemente O. 33. El Jebari S. 38. Nunez R. 14. Millan A.
Substitutes
13. Caro J. (G) 17. Escalante G. 23. Fernandez C. 14. Kovacevic B. 18. Matos Jose 25. Melendo O. 21. Ortega I. 6. San Emeterio F. 2. Zaldua J.	19. Aguirregabiria M. 21. Delmas J. 10. Escriche D. 40. Fuidias T. (G) 32. Luna D. 16. Machin J. 6. Mini 20. Nacho 5. Ndiaye Dione A. 9. Ortuno A. 30. Reyes J. (G) 24. Sipcic N.
Coaches
Garitano G.	Fernandez G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 1)
12', 1 - 0, Climent M. ⚽, Ontiveros J. (A),
29', 2 - 0, Fernandez A. ⚽,
37', 3 - 0, Ramos C. ⚽, Ontiveros J. (A),
44', 3 - 1, Andy (Pen),
45+3', Olivas K. 🟨,
45+3', Andy 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
54', Nunez R. ↓, Ndiaye Dione A. ↑,
60', 3 - 2, Andy (Pen),
64', Sobrino R. ↓, Melendo O. ↑,
64', Fernandez A. ↓, Fernandez C. ↑,
64', Ramos C. ↓, San Emeterio F. ↑,
65', Musto D. 🟨,
66', Clemente O. ↓, Escriche D. ↑,
66', El Jebari S. ↓, Luna D. ↑,
70', 🟨,
78', 4 - 2, De la Rosa J. ⚽, Climent M. (A),
79', De la Rosa J. ↓, Escalante G. ↑,
83', Carcelen I. ↓, Zaldua J. ↑,
84', Musto D. ↓, Mini ↑,
84', Millan A. ↓, Machin J. ↑,
90+5', 5 - 2, Escalante G. ⚽, Melendo O. (A),

Preview

In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 17 and 22 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Cádiz won 5.

Cádiz is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Cartagena has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Cartagena could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Cádiz is indisputable favorite.

There will not play in Cádiz: Hernandez L. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Cartagena: Verdu G. (Muscle Injury)

Our prediction for today's Cádiz to win the game is with odds 1.43.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Cádiz won 5 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 13:7 (average 1.6:0.9).

Including matches at home between the teams Cádiz won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6:2 (average 2:0.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cádiz CF
Spanish LaLiga2
02.02.25	Zaragoza - Cádiz	0:0 ✺
27.01.25	Cádiz - Mirandés	3:1 ✺
18.01.25	Eldense - Cádiz	1:4 ✺
12.01.25	Cádiz - Levante	0:0 ✺
Club Friendly
05.01.25	Atlético Sanluqueño - Cádiz	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15 TWWTW
- FC Cartagena
Spanish LaLiga2
02.02.25	Cartagena - Córdoba	0:1 ✺
25.01.25	Huesca - Cartagena	4:0 ✺
17.01.25	Cartagena - Real Oviedo	0:1 ✺
11.01.25	Ferrol - Cartagena	0:0 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
05.01.25	Cartagena - Leganés	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LLLTL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
22.09.24	Cartagena - Cádiz	1:2
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
17.01.16	Cartagena - Cádiz	0:1
29.08.15	Cádiz - Cartagena	4:2
26.04.15	Cádiz - Cartagena	2:0
07.12.14	Cartagena - Cádiz	1:3
27.04.14	Cartagena - Cádiz	1:1
10.12.13	Cádiz - Cartagena	0:0

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