Match Info

LaLiga2 - Round 26

Date: 15 February 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Municipal de Ipurua (Eibar)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	DAZN, Disney+
Bolivia	DAZN
Brazil	Disney+
Ecuador	DAZN
Mexico	Izzi TV, Sky Sport
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte
Paraguay	DAZN
Peru	Disney+
Spain	DAZN Espana, LaLiga Hypermotion, Movistar Plus+
Uruguay	DAZN, Disney+
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
Venezuela	DAZN, Disney+


	Eibar		Racing Santander

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.2	3.4	Watch
	2.15	3.1	3.4	Watch
	2.15	3.22	3.86
	2.14	3.19	3.7	Watch
	2.15	3	3.4
	2.26	3.26	3.3	Watch
	2.12	3.1	3.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.15 ↑ (2.03)	3.15 ↓ (3.54)	3.53 (3.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Eibar
43.6%

Draw
29.8%

Racing Santander
26.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.5%

26.7%

26.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.4%

26.2%

26.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Eibar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

Racing Santander has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Eibar than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Racing Santander than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	41.7%	41.7%

Eibar - Racing Santander Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Eibar will win (votes: 2 - 16.7%). Racing will win (votes: 5 - 41.7%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 41.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Racing: 13.8% – 69.6%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Magunagoitia J. (G) 2. Cubero S. 21. Moreno M. 15. Jair 23. Arbilla A. 6. Alvarez S. 14. Olaetxea L. 17. Corpas J. 16. Madariaga A. 10. Guruzeta J. 9. Bautista J.	1. Ezkieta J. (G) 2. Mantilla A. 4. Manu 16. Gonzalez F. 3. Garcia M. 14. Gueye M. 19. Puerta G. 11. Martin A. 18. Canales P. 10. Vicente I. 7. Guliashvili G.
Substitutes
7. Alkain X. 4. Arambarri A. 18. Ares A. 3. Arrillaga H. 30. Garrido A. 20. Javier Marton 1. Lopez L. (G) 11. Magunazelaia Argoitia J. 5. Martinez J. 22. Rodriguez A. 19. Villa T.	8. Aldasoro A. 33. Calera S. 20. Camara S. 5. Castro J. 13. Eriksson S. (G) 44. Fuentes D. 17. Mata J. 23. Rodriguez D. 6. Sainz-Maza I. 15. Sangalli M.
Coaches
San Jose B.	Lopez J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
15', Olaetxea L. 🟨,
18', Arbilla A. 🟨,
22', 0 - 1, Martin A. ⚽, Mantilla A. (A),
25', Canales P. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
60', Corpas J. 🟨,
65', Olaetxea L. ↓, Martinez J. ↑,
65', Corpas J. ↓, Ares A. ↑,
65', Bautista J. ↓, Javier Marton ↑,
70', Guliashvili G. ↓, Camara S. ↑,
71', 1 - 1, Javier Marton ⚽, Alvarez S. (A),
73', Martinez J. 🟨,
74', Jair ↓, Rodriguez A. ↑,
78', Martin A. 🟨,
85', Puerta G. 🟥,
86', Moreno M. 🟨,
88', Martin A. ↓, Sainz-Maza I. ↑,
89', Vicente I. ↓, Castro J. ↑,
89', Guruzeta J. ↓, Garrido A. ↑,
90+4', 2 - 1, Rodriguez A. ⚽,
90+7', Gonzalez F. ↓, Mata J. ↑,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 15 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Eibar won 0.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Eibar may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

There will not play in Eibar: Nolaskoain P. (Yellow Cards)

There will not play in Racing: Arana J. (Red Card) Lozano M. (Knee Injury) Salinas J. (Yellow Cards) Villalibre A. (Muscle Injury)

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Eibar won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 10:17. (average 0.9:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Eibar won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:4. (average 2:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Eibar	8	7	0	1	18:7	11	21

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SD Eibar
Spanish LaLiga2
07.02.26	Zaragoza - Eibar	1:1 ✺
01.02.26	Eibar - Sporting de Gijón	1:0 ✺
25.01.26	Eibar - Almería	1:0 ✺
19.01.26	Granada - Eibar	0:0 ✺
10.01.26	Burgos - Eibar	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 TWWTL
- Racing Santander
Spanish LaLiga2
09.02.26	Racing Santander - Mirandés	1:0 ✺
01.02.26	Granada - Racing Santander	1:0 ✺
25.01.26	Deportivo A Coruña - Racing Santander	0:1 ✺
18.01.26	Racing Santander - Las Palmas	4:1 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
15.01.26	Racing Santander - Barcelona	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
30.11.25	Racing Santander - Eibar	4:0
Club Friendly
19.07.25	Racing Santander - Eibar	2:0
Spanish LaLiga2
22.02.25	Eibar - Racing Santander	2:2
23.08.24	Racing Santander - Eibar	2:2
Club Friendly
27.07.24	Racing Santander - Eibar	0:0
Spanish LaLiga2
12.01.24	Eibar - Racing Santander	2:0
12.08.23	Racing Santander - Eibar	4:0

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