Match Info

SPAIN: LALIGA2 - ROUND 32

Date: 23 March 2024, Saturday

Location: Estadio Municipal Cartagonova (Cartagena)

Referee: Gonzalez Esteban J. A. (Esp)


	Cartagena		FC Andorra

	1	X	2
	2.63	2.9	3	Watch
	2.6	2.87	2.7
	2.55	2.95	2.95	Watch
	2.71	2.99	3.1
	2.71	2.93	3.1
	2.4	3	3
	2.58	3.08	2.93	Watch
	2.6	2.95	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.6 ↑ (2.13)	2.96 ↑ (2.92)	2.96 ↓ (3.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cartagena
36.3%

Draw
31.9%

FC Andorra
31.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.8%

31.1%

26.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44%

30.3%

25.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cartagena has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Cartagena's form might have worsened.

FC Andorra has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting FC Andorra's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cartagena than the current prediction. (+7.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Cartagena, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for FC Andorra than the current prediction. (-6.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for FC Andorra, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
58.3%	25%	16.7%

Cartagena - FC Andorra Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Cartagena will win (votes: 7 - 58.3%). Andorra will win (votes: 2 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Cartagena: 30.4% – 86.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Raul C. (G) 16. Calero I. 4. Alcala P. 5. Verdu G. 14. Fontan J. 6. Andy 18. Musto D. 23. Alarcon T. 8. Munoz L. 10. Poveda D. 12. Narvaez J.	1. Ratti N. (G) 4. Pastor A. 5. Vilanova A. 3. Marsa J. 16. Varela Pampin D. 21. Bover R. 6. Jandro 10. Gil I. 27. Benito I. 19. Scheidler A. 22. Pombo J.
Substitutes
32. Alamo J. 35. Ayllon I. 20. Izquierdo J. 11. Juan Carlos 1. Mejias T. (G) 2. Moreno D. 26. Ortiz A. 9. Ortuno A. 48. Reyes J. (G) 17. Rico M. 33. Sola A.	23. Alende D. 11. Alvaro 17. Calvo A. 15. Gonzalez D. 9. Karrikaburu J. 7. Lobete J. 2. Miguel 14. Molina S. 24. Moreno P. 13. Oier (G) 18. Petxa A. 8. Samper S.
Coaches
Calero J.	Sarabia E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
11', Pastor A. 🟨,
41', 1 - 0, Fontan J. ⚽, Andy (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
60', Narvaez J. ↓, Rico M. ↑,
60', Alarcon T. ↓, Izquierdo J. ↑,
64', Scheidler A. ↓, Karrikaburu J. ↑,
65', Pastor A. ↓, Petxa A. ↑,
69', Munoz L. ↓, Moreno D. ↑,
69', Poveda D. ↓, Ortuno A. ↑,
74', Varela Pampin D. ↓, Calvo A. ↑,
74', Bover R. ↓, Lobete J. ↑,
87', Fontan J. ↓, Sola A. ↑,
90+5', Lobete J. 🟨,

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 17 and 21 in the zone Relegation).

Two teams are playing changeable.

Cartagena could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Cartagena won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Cartagena won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Cartagena
Spanish LaLiga2
15.03.24	Eldense - Cartagena	0:0 ✺
09.03.24	Cartagena - Ferrol	2:1 ✺
02.03.24	Burgos - Cartagena	3:0 ✺
25.02.24	Cartagena - Elche	0:1 ✺
16.02.24	Zaragoza - Cartagena	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.8 TWLLW
- FC Andorra
Spanish LaLiga2
18.03.24	FC Andorra - Amorebieta	0:1 ✺
13.03.24	Levante - FC Andorra	0:0 ✺
08.03.24	Huesca - FC Andorra	2:0 ✺
03.03.24	FC Andorra - Valladolid	2:1 ✺
17.02.24	FC Andorra - Villarreal B	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 LTLWT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
18.08.23	FC Andorra - Cartagena	3:2
12.03.23	Cartagena - FC Andorra	0:3
04.12.22	FC Andorra - Cartagena	0:1

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