Match Info

SPAIN: LaLiga2 - Round 9

Date: 12 October 2024, Saturday

Location: Estadio Municipal Cartagonova (Cartagena)

Referee: Reig S. A. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	DGO
Mexico	Sky Sport
North-central-america	Sky Sports Norte
South-america	DGO Latin America
Spain	DAZN Espana, Gol Stadium, LaLiga Hypermotion, LaLiga TV Bar, Movistar Plus+ 1
Venezuela	Inter
World	DirecTV Sports


	Cartagena		Ferrol

	1	X	2
	2.25	2.88	3.6	Watch
	2.3	2.75	3.25
	2.3	2.95	3.4	Watch
	2.36	2.95	3.82
	2.33	2.84	3.71	Watch
	2.3	3	3.2
	2.32	2.88	3.65	Watch
	2.3	2.95	3.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.31 ↑ (2.18)	2.9 ↓ (3.08)	3.5 ↓ (3.73)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cartagena
40.7%

Draw
32.4%

Ferrol
26.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.6%

30.9%

25.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.2%

30.5%

25.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cartagena has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

Ferrol has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cartagena than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ferrol than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	33.3%	33.3%

Cartagena - Ferrol Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Cartagena will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Ferrol will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Cartagena: 2.5% – 64.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Reyes J. (G) 19. Aguirregabiria M. 4. Alcala P. 22. Olivas K. 20. Izquierdo J. 8. Munoz L. 18. Musto D. 6. Mini 10. Escriche D. 7. Valles G. 23. Teguia C.	25. Ruiz J. (G) 3. Correa R. 4. Puric A. 5. Naldo 21. Moi 16. Manzanara F. 10. Sene J. 14. Gelardo A. 8. Lopez A. 17. Dorrio J. 9. Jauregi E.
Substitutes
17. Andy 34. Gonzalez H. 28. Hernandez J. 2. Moreno J. 35. Nono (G) 9. Ortuno A. 3. Rios Reina J. 27. Sanchez Alcaraz C.	7. Borrego C. 26. Carballo D. 15. Castro D. 2. Delmas J. 1. Emilio (G) 20. Gimenez A. 6. Sanz A. 19. Vallejo M. 13. Yoel (G)
Coaches
Jandro	Parralo C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
36', Izquierdo J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
61', Lopez A. ↓, Vallejo M. ↑,
61', Dorrio J. ↓, Borrego C. ↑,
61', Gelardo A. ↓, Sanz A. ↑,
65', Escriche D. ↓, Gonzalez H. ↑,
66', Valles G. ↓, Ortuno A. ↑,
69', Musto D. 🟨,
74', Jauregi E. ↓, Gimenez A. ↑,
78', Mini ↓, Andy ↑,
82', Correa R. ↓, Delmas J. ↑,
87', Aguirregabiria M. 🟨,
88', Teguia C. ↓, Rios Reina J. ↑,
90+1', 0 - 1, Gimenez A. ⚽, Naldo (A),

Preview

This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 21 in the zone Relegation).

Cartagena is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Ferrol is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

There will not play in Ferrol: Cabaco E. (Muscle Injury)

There are questionable in Ferrol: Bunuel A. (Face Injury) Martinez B. (Thigh Injury)

Last 2 head-to-head matches Cartagena won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:2 (average 1.5:1).

Including matches at home between the teams Cartagena won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Cartagena
Spanish LaLiga2
05.10.24	Tenerife - Cartagena	2:0 ✺
30.09.24	Racing Santander - Cartagena	1:2 ✺
22.09.24	Cartagena - Cádiz	1:2 ✺
15.09.24	Real Oviedo - Cartagena	1:0 ✺
08.09.24	Cartagena - Levante	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 LWLLL
- Racing Club Ferrol
Spanish LaLiga2
05.10.24	Ferrol - Elche	1:0 ✺
29.09.24	Córdoba - Ferrol	3:1 ✺
21.09.24	Ferrol - Albacete Balompié	1:4 ✺
15.09.24	Cádiz - Ferrol	0:0 ✺
08.09.24	Ferrol - Mirandés	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 WLLTT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
09.03.24	Cartagena - Ferrol	2:1
08.10.23	Ferrol - Cartagena	1:1

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