Match Info

SPAIN: LaLiga2 - Round 1

Date: 18 August 2024, Sunday

Location: Estadio El Plantío (Burgos)

Referee: De Aza M. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	DAZN Espana, LaLiga Hypermotion 2, LaLiga Hypermotion, LaLiga TV Bar 2, Movistar Plus+ 1
World	Amazon Prime Video, Disney+, LaLiga+ app


	Burgos		Cartagena

	1	X	2
	1.8	3.3	4.75	Watch
	1.8	3.2	4.5
	1.83	3.3	4.5	Watch
	1.88	3.32	5
	1.92	3.3	4.45	Watch
	1.91	3.1	4.2
	1.83	3.34	4.87	Watch
	1.83	3.3	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.85 ↓ (1.97)	3.27 ↑ (3.12)	4.6 ↑ (4.08)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Burgos
50.8%

Draw
28.7%

Cartagena
20.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.4%

29.8%

22.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.3%

31.6%

21.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Burgos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

Cartagena has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Burgos than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cartagena than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
54.5%	18.2%	27.3%

Burgos - Cartagena Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Burgos will win (votes: 6 - 54.5%). Cartagena will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 18.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Burgos: 25.1% – 83.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Cantero A. (G) 4. Arroyo A. 27. Lopez D. 18. Aitor Cordoba 3. Miguel F. 11. Alex 6. Navarro R. 12. Appin K. 7. Ojeda D. 16. Curro 9. Nino F.	1. Cunat P. (G) 18. Musto D. 4. Alcala P. 24. Sipcic N. 3. Rios Reina J. 17. Andy 19. Aguirregabiria M. 6. Mini 8. Munoz L. 9. Ortuno A. 20. Izquierdo J.
Substitutes
1. Badiashile L. (G) 21. Cordoba I. 28. del Cerro S. 19. Espiau Hernandez E. D. 14. Gonzalez Ballesteros D. 17. Lopez J. 8. Martin A. 23. Morante I.	10. Escriche D. 13. Fuidias T. (G) 2. Moreno J. 22. Olivas K. 37. Roman P. 23. Teguia C. 5. Verdu G. 12. Vukcevic A.
Coaches
Bolo	Abelardo A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
14', 0 - 1, Mini ⚽, Munoz L. (A),
25', 1 - 1, Nino F. ⚽,
32', Arroyo A. 🟨,
40', 2 - 1, Ojeda D. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Musto D. ↓, Valles G. ↑,
65', Ortuno A. ↓, Escriche D. ↑,
67', Ojeda D. ↓, Cordoba I. ↑,
70', Sipcic N. 🟨,
73', Andy 🟨,
74', Munoz L. ↓, Teguia C. ↑,
75', Rios Reina J. ↓, Vukcevic A. ↑,
75', Navarro R. ↓, Morante I. ↑,
75', Nino F. ↓, Espiau Hernandez E. D. ↑,
80', Escriche D. 🟨,
80', Izquierdo J. ↓, Roman P. ↑,
90', Alex ↓, Gonzalez Ballesteros D. ↑,
90+2', 3 - 1, Curro (Pen),
90+3', 🟨,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Burgos won 3.

Two teams are playing changeable.

Burgos could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Cartagena have a series of home games.

In this match Burgos is a favorite.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Burgos won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 8-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Burgos won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Burgos CF
Club Friendly
10.08.24	Burgos - Racing Santander	2:1 ✺
09.08.24	Burgos - Leonesa	0:1 ✺
03.08.24	Burgos - Mallorca	0:2 ✺
31.07.24	Tarazona - Burgos	1:2 ✺
27.07.24	Valladolid - Burgos	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 WLLWT
- FC Cartagena
Club Friendly
09.08.24	Albacete Balompié - Cartagena	0:1 ✺
07.08.24	Cartagena - Intercity	0:3 ✺
04.08.24	Cartagena - Almería	1:1 ✺
31.07.24	Cartagena - Eldense	1:1 ✺
27.07.24	Cartagena - Al-Ettifaq Dammam	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 WLTTW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
02.03.24	Burgos - Cartagena	3:0
16.12.23	Cartagena - Burgos	0:3
07.05.23	Cartagena - Burgos	0:0
04.09.22	Burgos - Cartagena	1:0
14.05.22	Burgos - Cartagena	1:1
21.11.21	Cartagena - Burgos	1:0

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