Match Info

Date: 15 January 2021, Friday


	Cartagena		Internacional de Palmira

	1	X	2
	3.3	3	2.1
	3.3	2.85	2.2
	3.15	2.9	2.25
	3.54	2.89	2.41
	3	2.9	2.35
	3.08	3.14	2.28
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.23 ↓ (3.5)	2.95 ↓ (3.09)	2.27 ↑ (2.13)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cartagena
28.4%

Draw
31.1%

Internacional de Palmira
40.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.5%

30%

43.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20%

22.7%

57.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cartagena has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

Internacional de Palmira has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cartagena than the current prediction. (-8.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Cartagena that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Internacional de Palmira than the current prediction. (+17.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Internacional de Palmira could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Cartagena - Internacional de Palmira Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Cartagena has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Cortuluá is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Cortuluá could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Cortuluá will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 12 head-to-head matches Cartagena won 5 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 15-18.

Including matches at home between the teams Cartagena won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 13-8.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Cartagena
Spanish LaLiga2
10.01.21	Tenerife - Cartagena	3:0 ✺
02.01.21	Cartagena - Zaragoza	1:1 ✺
20.12.20	Alcorcón - Cartagena	2:1 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
17.12.20	Pontevedra - Cartagena	2:1 ✺
Spanish LaLiga2
13.12.20	Cartagena - Sabadell	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LTLLL
- Internacional de Palmira
Colombian Primera B
26.12.20	Internacional de Palmira - Atlético Huila	1:3 ✺
23.12.20	Atlético Huila - Internacional de Palmira	1:0 ✺
18.12.20	Bogotá - Internacional de Palmira	3:2 ✺
12.12.20	Internacional de Palmira - Valledupar	5:0 ✺
06.12.20	Internacional de Palmira - Leones	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 LLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Colombian Primera B
14.11.20	Internacional de Palmira - Cartagena	1:0
09.11.20	Cartagena - Internacional de Palmira	0:1
02.02.20	Internacional de Palmira - Cartagena	2:0
19.09.19	Internacional de Palmira - Cartagena	1:0
02.06.19	Cartagena - Internacional de Palmira	1:1
12.05.19	Internacional de Palmira - Cartagena	3:0
07.04.19	Cartagena - Internacional de Palmira	3:2

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