Match Info

SPAIN: LaLiga2 - Round 8

Date: 5 October 2024, Saturday

Location: Estadio Heliodoro Rodríguez López (Santa Cruz de Tenerife)

Referee: Orellana M. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	DGO
Bolivia	Tigo Sports 1
Japan	DAZN Japan
Mexico	Sky Sport
Paraguay	Tigo Sports
South-america	DGO Latin America
Spain	DAZN Espana, LaLiga Hypermotion, LaLiga TV Bar 3, Movistar Plus+ 1
Venezuela	Inter
World	DirecTV Sports


	Tenerife		Cartagena

	1	X	2
	1.65	3.5	5.75	Watch
	1.63	3.4	5.25
	1.66	3.5	5.5	Watch
	1.68	3.57	6.16
	1.74	3.49	5.32	Watch
	1.7	3.44	5.76	Watch
	1.66	3.5	5.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.67 ↓ (1.92)	3.49 ↓ (3.5)	5.61 ↑ (3.89)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tenerife
56.2%

Draw
27%

Cartagena
16.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49%

26.8%

24.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.6%

26.5%

23.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tenerife has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Tenerife's performance.

Cartagena has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Cartagena might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tenerife than the current prediction. (-6.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Tenerife that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cartagena than the current prediction. (+7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Cartagena could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
92.9%	0%	7.1%

Tenerife - Cartagena Predictions

Users Predictions: Tenerife will win (13 of 14 users predict this - 92.86%).
Confidence interval (95%): 79.37% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Carrasco S. (G) 22. Mellot J. 24. Gaya J. 4. Leon J. 3. Medrano F. 32. Fernandez D. 5. Gonzalez S. 8. Diarra Y. 10. Moreno M. 11. Cruz Luismi 9. Rodriguez A.	1. Cunat P. (G) 19. Aguirregabiria M. 4. Alcala P. 22. Olivas K. 3. Rios Reina J. 17. Andy 6. Mini 10. Escriche D. 8. Munoz L. 20. Izquierdo J. 7. Valles G.
Substitutes
29. Alvarez C. 12. Alves R. 15. Bodiger Y. 18. Enric 27. Manjam A. 33. Martin Luis A. 20. Mesa M. 13. Nadal T. (G) 2. Rodriguez D. 17. Rubio W. 35. Sabina F. 34. Senhadji Y.	40. Fuidias T. (G) 28. Hernandez J. 2. Moreno J. 9. Ortuno A. 30. Reyes J. (G) 37. Roman P. 27. Sanchez Alcaraz C. 23. Teguia C.
Coaches
Mel P.	Jandro

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
13', Mellot J. 🟨,
36', 1 - 0, Fernandez D. ⚽, Cruz Luismi (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
55', Munoz L. 🟨,
58', Moreno M. ↓, Rubio W. ↑,
58', Rodriguez A. ↓, Enric ↑,
64', Rios Reina J. ↓, Ortuno A. ↑,
64', Escriche D. ↓, Teguia C. ↑,
67', Medrano F. ↓, Rodriguez D. ↑,
77', Andy ↓, Roman P. ↑,
77', Fernandez D. ↓, Martin Luis A. ↑,
84', Leon J. 🟨,
90+3', 2 - 0, Enric ⚽, Diarra Y. (A),

Preview

This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 22 in the zone Relegation and 19 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Tenerife won 1.

Tenerife is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Cartagena is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Tenerife is a favorite.

There will not play in Tenerife: Jose Amo (Knee Injury)

Last 11 head-to-head matches Tenerife won 3 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 10:7 (average 0.9:0.6).

Including matches at home between the teams Tenerife won 1 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6:4 (average 1:0.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Tenerife
Spanish LaLiga2
29.09.24	Castellón - Tenerife	2:1 ✺
22.09.24	Tenerife - Sporting de Gijón	1:1 ✺
14.09.24	Eibar - Tenerife	1:0 ✺
06.09.24	Tenerife - Racing Santander	0:1 ✺
31.08.24	Cádiz - Tenerife	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 LTLLT
- FC Cartagena
Spanish LaLiga2
30.09.24	Racing Santander - Cartagena	1:2 ✺
22.09.24	Cartagena - Cádiz	1:2 ✺
15.09.24	Real Oviedo - Cartagena	1:0 ✺
08.09.24	Cartagena - Levante	0:1 ✺
01.09.24	Eldense - Cartagena	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.1 WLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
12.05.24	Cartagena - Tenerife	2:0
26.11.23	Tenerife - Cartagena	1:1
22.01.23	Cartagena - Tenerife	0:1
12.10.22	Tenerife - Cartagena	0:0
Club Friendly
06.08.22	Tenerife - Cartagena	1:1
Spanish LaLiga2
29.05.22	Tenerife - Cartagena	1:2
06.12.21	Cartagena - Tenerife	1:1

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