Match Info

SPAIN: LaLiga2 - Round 18

Date: 9 December 2024, Monday

Location: Estadio Municipal Cartagonova (Cartagena)

Referee: Sanchez A. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	CANAL+ Sport 2, StarTimes App
Argentina	Disney+
Austria	DAZN
Brazil	Disney+
Bulgaria	Max Sport 1
Chile	Disney+
Colombia	Disney+
Croatia	Arena Sport 6, MAXtv To Go
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 4
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 4, beIN Sports MAX 6, Free
Germany	DAZN 1 Deutsch
Italy	DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan
Mexico	Sky Sport
Nigeria	Sporty TV
North-central-america	Sky Sports Norte
Peru	Disney+
Portugal	DAZN 3
Spain	DAZN Espana, Gol Stadium, LaLiga Hypermotion
Sweden	TV4 Play
Turkey	Exxen, S Sport, S Sport+
United-kingdom	Premier Sports 2, Premier Sports Player
Uruguay	Disney+
Venezuela	Disney+
World	Disney+


	Cartagena		Sporting de Gijón

	1	X	2
	4.75	3.2	1.85	Watch
	4.1	3.2	1.85
	4.33	3.25	1.87	Watch
	4.83	3.35	1.92
	4.71	3.33	1.86	Watch
	4.33	3.25	1.83
	4.47	3.35	1.89	Watch
	4.33	3.25	1.87
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.48 ↑ (3.92)	3.27 ↓ (3.4)	1.87 ↓ (1.97)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cartagena
21%

Draw
28.7%

Sporting de Gijón
50.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.1%

27.8%

48.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.8%

27.4%

48.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cartagena has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

Sporting de Gijón has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cartagena than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sporting de Gijón than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
15.7%	9.8%	74.5%

Cartagena - Sporting de Gijón Predictions

Users Predictions: Sporting de Gijón will win (38 of 48 users predict this - 79.17%).
Confidence interval (95%): 67.68% – 90.66%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Cunat P. (G) 2. Moreno J. 4. Alcala P. 22. Olivas K. 3. Rios Reina J. 18. Musto D. 6. Mini 23. Teguia C. 8. Munoz L. 10. Escriche D. 7. Valles G.	1. Yanez R. (G) 2. Rosas G. 15. Maras N. 4. Pier R. 3. Cote 6. Martin N. 14. Olaetxea L. 10. Mendez N. 17. Dubasin J. 19. Otero J. 9. Queipo D.
Substitutes
17. Andy 40. Fuidias T. (G) 34. Gonzalez H. 28. Hernandez J. 9. Ortuno A. 30. Reyes J. (G) 37. Roman P. 27. Sanchez Alcaraz C. 24. Sipcic N. 12. Vukcevic A.	8. Bernal J. 16. Caicedo J. 7. Campos G. 11. Campuzano V. 23. Curbelo E. 5. Garcia P. 18. Gelabert Pina C. 13. Joel C. (G) 29. Kembo Y. 27. Oyon A. 20. Vazquez K.
Coaches
Jandro	Albes R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
36', Otero J. ↓, Campuzano V. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
54', Escriche D. 🟨,
60', Maras N. ↓, Bernal J. ↑,
61', Mendez N. ↓, Gelabert Pina C. ↑,
64', Bernal J. 🟨,
68', Yanez R. 🟥,
70', Queipo D. ↓, Campos G. ↑,
71', Martin N. ↓, Joel C. ↑,
72', 1 - 0, Munoz L. (Pen),
75', Escriche D. ↓, Vukcevic A. ↑,
83', Valles G. ↓, Ortuno A. ↑,
83', Teguia C. ↓, Roman P. ↑,
86', Mini ↓, Andy ↑,
90+8', Pier R. 🟨,

Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 22 in the zone Relegation and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Cartagena won 2.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Sporting de Gijón could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Sporting de Gijón is a favorite.

There are questionable in Sporting de Gijón: Curbelo E. (Muscle Injury)

Last 9 head-to-head matches Cartagena won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 5:10 (average 0.6:1.1).

Including matches at home between the teams Cartagena won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4:5 (average 0.8:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Cartagena
Spanish Copa del Rey
05.12.24	FC Andorra - Cartagena	0:1 ✺
Spanish LaLiga2
02.12.24	Eibar - Cartagena	1:0 ✺
23.11.24	Cartagena - Almería	1:2 ✺
17.11.24	Cartagena - Huesca	1:0 ✺
09.11.24	Málaga - Cartagena	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 WLLWL
- Sporting de Gijón
Spanish Copa del Rey
04.12.24	Racing Santander - Sporting de Gijón	1:0 ✺
Spanish LaLiga2
01.12.24	Sporting de Gijón - Córdoba	2:0 ✺
24.11.24	Deportivo A Coruña - Sporting de Gijón	1:1 ✺
16.11.24	Sporting de Gijón - Granada	1:2 ✺
10.11.24	Burgos - Sporting de Gijón	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 LWTLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
13.04.24	Sporting de Gijón - Cartagena	1:0
02.12.23	Cartagena - Sporting de Gijón	1:0
22.04.23	Cartagena - Sporting de Gijón	2:1
11.12.22	Sporting de Gijón - Cartagena	0:0
Club Friendly
23.07.22	Cartagena - Sporting de Gijón	0:3
Spanish LaLiga2
26.03.22	Sporting de Gijón - Cartagena	4:1
19.10.21	Cartagena - Sporting de Gijón	1:0

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