Match Info

SPAIN: LaLiga2 - Round 17

Date: 2 December 2024, Monday

Location: Estadio Municipal de Ipurua (Eibar)

Referee: Fuentes Molina A. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bulgaria	Max Sport 1
Croatia	Arena Sport 6, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 7, Cytavision Sports 7
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 4
Greece	Nova Sports Start
Israel	ONE Sport 2
Italy	DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan
Mexico	Sky Sport
North-central-america	Sky Sports Norte
Portugal	DAZN 2
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 3, Match TV
South-america	DGO Latin America
Spain	DAZN Espana, Gol Stadium, LaLiga Hypermotion, LaLiga TV Bar 2, Movistar Plus+ 1
United-kingdom	Premier Sports Player
Venezuela	Inter
World	DirecTV Sports


	Eibar		Cartagena

	1	X	2
	1.67	3.5	5.25	Watch
	1.65	3.5	5
	1.68	3.6	5	Watch
	1.71	3.56	5.78
	1.72	3.5	5.52	Watch
	1.73	3.62	5.05	Watch
	1.68	3.6	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.69 ↑ (1.57)	3.55 ↓ (3.84)	5.23 ↓ (6.04)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Eibar
55.6%

Draw
26.4%

Cartagena
18%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.9%

24.5%

15.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.1%

23.6%

15%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Eibar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

Cartagena has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Eibar than the current prediction. (+6.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Eibar, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cartagena than the current prediction. (-3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
64%	20%	16%

Eibar - Cartagena Predictions

Users Predictions: 25 users predict this event. Eibar will win (votes: 16 - 64%). Cartagena will win (votes: 4 - 16%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Eibar: 45.2% – 82.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Magunagoitia J. (G) 17. Corpas J. 4. Carrillo A. 22. Arambarri A. 3. Gutierrez C. 6. Alvarez S. 8. Nolaskoain P. 21. Guruzeta J. 29. Madariaga A. 20. Puertas A. 11. Pascual J.	1. Cunat P. (G) 2. Moreno J. 4. Alcala P. (C) 22. Olivas K. 3. Rios Reina J. 17. Andy 18. Musto D. 34. Gonzalez H. 10. Escriche D. 23. Teguia C. 7. Valles G.
Substitutes
7. Alkain X. 14. Arrillaga H. 9. Bautista J. 35. Carrasco O. 5. Chema 2. Cubero S. 15. Hashimoto K. 26. Ispizua I. (G) 18. Merquelanz M. 27. Slavy 19. Villa T.	40. Fuidias T. (G) 28. Hernandez J. 20. Izquierdo J. 8. Munoz L. 9. Ortuno A. 30. Reyes J. (G) 37. Roman P. 27. Sanchez Alcaraz C. 24. Sipcic N.
Coaches
Etxeberria J.	Jandro

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
27', 1 - 0, Pascual J. ⚽, Gutierrez C. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
64', Rios Reina J. ↓, Izquierdo J. ↑,
66', Guruzeta J. ↓, Alkain X. ↑,
70', Escriche D. ↓, Ortuno A. ↑,
71', Andy ↓, Munoz L. ↑,
71', Gonzalez H. ↓, Roman P. ↑,
73', Alcala P. 🟨,
75', Nolaskoain P. ↓, Hashimoto K. ↑,
76', Pascual J. ↓, Bautista J. ↑,
85', Gutierrez C. ↓, Arrillaga H. ↑,

Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 14 and 22 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Eibar won 2.

Eibar is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Cartagena is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Eibar is a favorite.

There will not play in Eibar: Daniel Fuzato (Injury)

There are questionable in Eibar: Pereira M. (Muscle Injury)

Last 6 head-to-head matches Eibar won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 7:11 (average 1.2:1.8).

Including matches at home between the teams Eibar won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3:4 (average 1:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SD Eibar
Spanish LaLiga2
23.11.24	Burgos - Eibar	1:0 ✺
16.11.24	Eibar - Ferrol	2:0 ✺
11.11.24	Deportivo A Coruña - Eibar	1:0 ✺
02.11.24	Eibar - Elche	0:2 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
30.10.24	UD Logroñés - Eibar	1:0 ET ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.7 LWLLL
- FC Cartagena
Spanish LaLiga2
23.11.24	Cartagena - Almería	1:2 ✺
17.11.24	Cartagena - Huesca	1:0 ✺
09.11.24	Málaga - Cartagena	1:0 ✺
02.11.24	Cartagena - Deportivo A Coruña	1:5 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
30.10.24	Beasain - Cartagena	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 LWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
19.05.24	Eibar - Cartagena	1:0
22.09.23	Cartagena - Eibar	1:2
12.02.23	Eibar - Cartagena	0:3
27.11.22	Cartagena - Eibar	2:1
06.03.22	Cartagena - Eibar	4:1
22.10.21	Eibar - Cartagena	2:1

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