Match Info

COSTA RICA: PRIMERA DIVISION - CLAUSURA - ROUND 4

Date: 23 January 2024, Tuesday

Location: Estadio José Rafael Fello Meza (Cartago)


	Cartagines		Municipal Grecia

	1	X	2
	1.4	4.33	5.75
	1.38	4.4	6
	1.42	4.5	6.5	Watch
	1.43	4.84	6.92
	1.35	4.33	7
	1.42	4.55	6.47	Watch
	1.42	4.5	6.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.4 ↓ (1.47)	4.49 ↑ (4.4)	6.41 ↑ (5.76)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cartagines
65.3%

Draw
20.4%

Municipal Grecia
14.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.9%

21%

16.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.4%

20.5%

15.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cartagines has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

Municipal Grecia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cartagines than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Municipal Grecia than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

Cartagines - Municipal Grecia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
35. Briceno K. (G) 12. Quiros J. 4. Espinoza K. 52. David A. 17. Gonzalez Hernandez D. 6. Venegas J. 16. Martinez C. 15. Cedeno F. 7. Guevara A. 21. Urena M. 9. Hernandez M. (C)	23. Vega J. (G) 12. Meneses Salazar M. J. 22. Aguero J. 4. Noya R. (C) 5. Gutierrez K. 24. Rodriguez R. 32. Castro S. 8. Arauz A. 70. Rivera Stuart J. 10. Cole K. 14. Villalobos A.
Substitutes
24. Alfaro L. 18. Barahona C. 27. Daly J. 8. Lopez D. 33. Moya C. (G) 77. Pemberton J. 3. Quiros W.	50. Aguinaga R. (G) 3. Martinez P. 29. Ramirez E. 77. Roman S. 25. Sanchez J. 6. Ugalde J. 19. Wright S.
Coaches
Garcia M.	Roman J.

Preview

This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 6 and 8).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Cartagines won 4.

Cartagines is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Grecia is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Cartagines is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 25 head-to-head matches Cartagines won 13 matches, drawn 8 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 47-32.

Including matches at home between the teams Cartagines won 7 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 29-15.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CS Cartagines
Costa Rican Primera Division
21.01.24	Deportivo Saprissa - Cartagines	1:1 ✺
16.01.24	Cartagines - Guanacasteca	1:2 ✺
13.01.24	Santos de Guápiles - Cartagines	0:2 ✺
09.12.23	Deportivo Saprissa - Cartagines	4:0 ✺
03.12.23	Cartagines - Deportivo Saprissa	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 TLWLL
- Municipal Grecia
Costa Rican Primera Division
20.01.24	Puntarenas FC - Municipal Grecia	0:0 ✺
17.01.24	Municipal Grecia - Sporting San José	2:2 ✺
13.01.24	Guanacasteca - Municipal Grecia	1:0 ✺
25.11.23	Puntarenas FC - Municipal Grecia	1:2 ✺
23.11.23	Municipal Grecia - Deportivo Saprissa	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.8 TTLWL

Latest Head to Head

Costa Rican Primera Division
01.10.23	Cartagines - Municipal Grecia	4:1
30.07.23	Municipal Grecia - Cartagines	3:4
01.05.23	Municipal Grecia - Cartagines	1:1
26.02.23	Cartagines - Municipal Grecia	2:0
14.08.22	Municipal Grecia - Cartagines	3:5
20.07.22	Cartagines - Municipal Grecia	1:2
26.04.22	Cartagines - Municipal Grecia	4:0

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