Match Info

SPAIN: TERCERA RFEF - GROUP 10 - ROUND 18

Date: 20 January 2024, Saturday


	Cartaya		Ciudad de Lucena

	1	X	2
	4.2	3	1.82
	4.55	2.89	1.83
	4.58	3.08	1.81
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.44 ↑ (3.79)	2.99 ↓ (3.13)	1.82 ↓ (1.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 9.6%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Cartaya
20.3%

Draw
30.2%

Ciudad de Lucena
49.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.1%

29.1%

46.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.4%

28.3%

48.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cartaya has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

Ciudad de Lucena has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cartaya than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ciudad de Lucena than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

Cartaya - Ciudad de Lucena Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

#ad

Preview

Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 12 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 10 (Play Offs: )).

Recent matches Cartaya is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Ciudad de Lucena is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Ciudad de Lucena will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Cartaya won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 2-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Cartaya won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AD Cartaya
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 10
14.01.24	Cartaya - Ayamonte	3:0 ✺
23.12.23	Coria CF - Cartaya	0:2 ✺
17.12.23	Cartaya - La Palma	1:1 ✺
06.12.23	Xerez Deportivo - Cartaya	2:0 ✺
02.12.23	Cartaya - Bollullos	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 WWTLT
- CD Ciudad de Lucena
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 10
14.01.24	Cabecense - Ciudad de Lucena	0:1 ✺
23.12.23	Ciudad de Lucena - Ceuta B	1:0 ✺
17.12.23	Xerez CD - Ciudad de Lucena	1:1 ✺
06.12.23	Ciudad de Lucena - Córdoba B	0:2 ✺
02.12.23	Espeleño - Ciudad de Lucena	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WWTLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 10
10.09.23	Ciudad de Lucena - Cartaya	2:1
29.01.23	Ciudad de Lucena - Cartaya	1:0
01.10.22	Cartaya - Ciudad de Lucena	1:1
24.04.22	Ciudad de Lucena - Cartaya	1:0
18.12.21	Cartaya - Ciudad de Lucena	0:1

Upcoming Matches