Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 3 - Round 23

Date: 21 February 2026, Saturday


	Guarnizo		Gimnástica de Torrelavega

	1	X	2
	5.5	3.5	1.55
	6.35	3.85	1.49
	6.5	3.5	1.44
	7.23	3.72	1.44
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.4 ↑ (5.15)	3.64 ↑ (3.5)	1.48 ↓ (1.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Guarnizo
14.1%

Draw
24.8%

Gimnástica de Torrelavega
61.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

17.6%

25.8%

56.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17.1%

25%

58.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Guarnizo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

Gimnástica de Torrelavega has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guarnizo than the current prediction. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gimnástica de Torrelavega than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

Guarnizo - Gimnástica de Torrelavega Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
60', 0 - 1, ⚽,
85', 🟥,
90+5', 🟥,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 8 and 1 in the zone Promotion).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Guarnizo won 0.

Guarnizo is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Torrelavega is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In this match, Torrelavega is a strong favorite.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Guarnizo won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 2:12. (average 0.3:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Guarnizo won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:4. (average 0.3:1.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
13	Guarnizo	5	1	1	3	6:9	-3	4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Guarnizo
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 3
15.02.26	Revilla - Guarnizo	1:2 ✺
08.02.26	Atlético Albericia - Guarnizo	1:3 ✺
31.01.26	Guarnizo - Colindres	1:0 ✺
17.01.26	Guarnizo - Laredo	2:3 ✺
10.01.26	Guarnizo - Bezana	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.8 WWWLT
- Gimnástica de Torrelavega
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 3
15.02.26	Gimnástica de Torrelavega - Colindres	6:1 ✺
08.02.26	Selaya - Gimnástica de Torrelavega	0:4 ✺
01.02.26	Gimnástica de Torrelavega - Laredo	1:1 ✺
24.01.26	Bezana - Gimnástica de Torrelavega	0:2 ✺
18.01.26	Gimnástica de Torrelavega - Torina	7:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 WWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 3
12.10.25	Gimnástica de Torrelavega - Guarnizo	1:0
09.04.22	Gimnástica de Torrelavega - Guarnizo	0:0
11.12.21	Guarnizo - Gimnástica de Torrelavega	0:0
21.02.21	Guarnizo - Gimnástica de Torrelavega	1:1
02.02.20	Guarnizo - Gimnástica de Torrelavega	0:3
11.09.19	Gimnástica de Torrelavega - Guarnizo	2:1
Spanish Tercera Division - Play Offs
21.01.18	Gimnástica de Torrelavega - Guarnizo	5:0

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