Match Info
Tercera RFEF - Group 3 - Round 22Date: 15 February 2026, Sunday
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Revilla |
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Guarnizo |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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 |
3.35 |
3.25 |
1.95 |
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 |
3.69 |
3.56 |
1.87 |
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 |
10.75 |
5.14 |
1.26 |
 Watch |
 |
3.6 |
3.25 |
1.91 |
|
 |
3.69 |
3.42 |
1.86 |
|
 |
3.6 |
3.5 |
1.86 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.78 ↑
(2.88) |
3.69 ↑
(3) |
1.79 ↓
(2.32) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
- The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Revilla
20.1% | Draw
26.1% | Guarnizo
53.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Revilla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Revilla's form might have worsened.Guarnizo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Guarnizo's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Revilla than the current prediction. (+11.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Revilla, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guarnizo than the current prediction. (-15.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Guarnizo, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.Revilla - Guarnizo Predictions
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Guarnizo (votes: 1 - 100%). Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 17', 0 - 1, ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 53', 1 - 1, ⚽,
- 89', 1 - 2, ⚽,
Preview
Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 12 and 7).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Revilla won 0.Recent form of Revilla has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).Guarnizo is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins โ 3). In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Revilla won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 5:11. (average 0.6:1.4).Including home matches between the teams, Revilla won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:5. (average 0.8:1.3).
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 8 | Revilla | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 10:6 | 4 | 8 |
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| 13 | Guarnizo | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6:9 | -3 | 4 |
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Last Results with these Odds
Revilla - the odds 2.88 are the expected chance of winning is 31.24%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 3 | | | 04.10.25 | Guarnizo - Revilla | 0:0 | | 12.10.24 | Guarnizo - Revilla | 1:1 | | 30.03.24 | Revilla - Guarnizo | 1:1 | | 12.11.23 | Guarnizo - Revilla | 4:1 | | 28.01.23 | Guarnizo - Revilla | 1:0 | | 24.09.22 | Revilla - Guarnizo | 0:1 | | 18.04.21 | Revilla - Guarnizo | 0:2 |
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