Match Info

SPAIN: TERCERA RFEF - GROUP 16 - ROUND 23

Date: 3 March 2024, Sunday


	Casalarreina		UD Logroñés Promesas

	1	X	2
	3.6	3.4	1.8
	4.07	3.49	1.74
	3.94	3.44	1.81
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.87 ↑ (2.86)	3.44 ↑ (3.3)	1.78 ↓ (2.22)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Casalarreina
23.3%

Draw
26.2%

UD Logroñés Promesas
50.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.7%

27.5%

40.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.1%

29%

43%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Casalarreina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Casalarreina's form might have worsened.

UD Logroñés Promesas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting UD Logroñés Promesas's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Casalarreina than the current prediction. (+6.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Casalarreina, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for UD Logroñés Promesas than the current prediction. (-7.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for UD Logroñés Promesas, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 7 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 16 (Play Offs: )).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

UD Logroñés Promesas could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Casalarreina won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 2-9.

Including matches at home between the teams Casalarreina won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Casalarreina CF
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 16
24.02.24	Oyonesa - Casalarreina	1:1 ✺
18.02.24	Casalarreina - Comillas	4:4 ✺
10.02.24	Berceo - Casalarreina	1:1 ✺
04.02.24	La Calzada - Casalarreina	1:2 ✺
27.01.24	Casalarreina - River Ebro	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.6 TTTWT
- UD Logroñés Promesas
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 16
25.02.24	UD Logroñés Promesas - River Ebro	0:0 ✺
18.02.24	Calahorra B - UD Logroñés Promesas	1:1 ✺
11.02.24	UD Logroñés Promesas - Tedeón	4:1 ✺
04.02.24	Peña Balsamaiso - UD Logroñés Promesas	1:0 ✺
28.01.24	UD Logroñés Promesas - Vianés	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 TTWLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 16
15.10.23	UD Logroñés Promesas - Casalarreina	5:0
17.02.21	Casalarreina - UD Logroñés Promesas	2:3
13.10.19	UD Logroñés Promesas - Casalarreina	1:0

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