The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Nardo 34%
Draw 29.6%
Casarano 36.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
34.3%
29.4%
36.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
35.7%
30.6%
35%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Nardo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)
The chances for Casarano have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nardo than the current prediction. (+1.7%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Casarano than the current prediction. (-1.4%)
Nardo - Casarano Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
33', 1 - 0, De Crescenzo S. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
58', 1 - 1, Perez L. ⚽,
90+6', 🟥,
Preview
One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 6 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group H (Play Offs: )).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Nardo won 2.
Nardo is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Casarano is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
Casarano could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.
Last 10 head-to-head matches Nardo won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 9:9 (average 0.9:0.9).
Including matches at home between the teams Nardo won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5:3 (average 1:0.6).
Watch
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